Trend Letter Blogs


Brexit: The Movie

The fear-mongering and outright bs over what a UK exit from the EU would mean, has reached such a level that the pro-EU side is now claiming that if the British leave the EU, they would risk getting cancer. To counter all of the pro-EU propaganda, documentary maker Martin Durkin created Brexit: The Movie, which makes a total […]


Tide change, or a storm warning?

Investment trends are a lot like tides, generally quite predictable for those who know what to look for.  The average person may look out to the sea, and notice ripples and waves, but have no clear idea as to whether the tide is coming in or going out. Waves and tides are predictable when you […]

Negative rates

Negative rates, the dangerous experiment

For over two years now we have been warning that low interest rates were going to have a serious effect on savers. We have also highlighted many times how low interest rates would crush Pension Funds, as these funds need annual returns of 6%-8% to meet their future obligations. We recently published a blog on how […]


The $78 Trillion Problem

$78 trillion is a massive number, & according to Citigroup, that is the amount of unfunded pension liabilities incurred by the richest 20 countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development (OECD). These countries include the US, UK, Canada, Australia, France, Germany, Japan, & central Europe, among others. The report also noted that most […]


How to survive the coming crisis

We are getting many questions from readers on how do we as individuals survive this coming period of incredible change. It used to be that people would work hard, save their money, and then when they retire, they could live off their savings. Today, seniors can no longer simply live off their savings, with record […]


John Oliver explains why Apple needs to maintain its encryption—to stay “one step ahead” of hackers

As figures in technology and politics weigh in on the US Federal Bureau of Investigation’s iPhone encryption battle with Apple, the comedian John Oliver has now joined the fray. In his show on Sunday (Mar. 13), Oliver backs the tech company’s resistance to government efforts to compel it to unlock an encrypted iPhone belonging to a […]

Negative rates

What would negative rates mean for you?

It used to be that you worked hard, saved your money, and then when you retired, you lived off the interest of your savings. Today, global central bankers are changing the landscape, where already in 15 countries, the term negative interest rates is a reality. Japan is the latest country to do this, following Europe, […]


The real reason central banks want to eliminate cash

First we had ECB president Mario Draghi announce he is seriously considering eliminating the €500 note, & today we have former US treasury secretary Larry Summers lobbying to eliminate the $100. Both of them use the ‘terrorist’ angle as justification, saying that the only users of high denominated currency are terrorists, & criminals. But this move […]


A robot sinks a hole-in-one on the PGA Tour

From Quartz… About a week after beating a supposedly unbeatable board game, robots are now turning their attention to a game you’ve actually heard of: golf. LDRIC, a robot named after Tiger Woods’ birth name (“Eldrick,” phonetically), knocked in a hole-in-one on the 16th hole of the Waste Management Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, Arizona on […]


Question on Gold

Q. You have continually warned that gold will not truly move into the bull market that you have projected until we see a loss of confidence in government. Given Trump’s popularity, isn’t that an indication that we are indeed seeing that loss of confidence in government now, and that this is why gold is rising? […]



Global markets rise as weak dollar, US rate outlook keep oil strong. Read story Oil seen ‘lower for longer’ by Morgan Stanley as forecasts cut. Read story US jobs markets signals loss of momentum; productivity plunges. Read story Bank of England cuts growth estimate; call for rate hike dropped. Read story  America holds crisis meeting […]



Manufacturing in the US contracts for 4th consecutive month. Read story  Oil falls 4% on China data, fading prospect of OPEC action. Read story US consumer spending softens; savings hit three-year high. Read story Global yields hit 12-month low with Japan 2-year at minus 0.16%. Read story Euro-Area Factories Cut Prices as Deflation Risks Loom […]


The 100 largest US public sector pension plans have a $1.2 trillion funding gap

From The 100 largest public employee pension plans in the United States face an unfunded liability of more than $1 trillion. This figure, compiled by consulting firm Millman, likely under-reports the actual liability, because it is based on the plans’ own, rather rosy, assumptions of investment returns. The true gap between what politicians have promised state and […]


China spooking global markets

The Chinese government implemented a new ‘circuit-breaker’ system that was supposed to give investors a feeling of safety & security, knowing that the market couldn’t fall too much in a day. Unfortunately, it has had the opposite effect. The new ‘circuit-breaker’ system halts trading if the market declines 5%, & then halts again if it […]


Market Turmoil

Volatility has ramped up & the ‘risk-off’ sentiment has taken hold of the markets. The Nikkei market started the damage as concerns over North Korea’s claim it had successfully carried out a hydrogen bomb test frightened markets early in Asia, & lasted right through the close in North America. There were many questions as to […]


NASA: Burning fossil fuels ‘COOLS planet’

Major theories about what causes temperatures to rise have been thrown into doubt after NASA found the Earth has cooled in areas of heavy industrialization where more trees have been lost and more fossil fuel burning takes place. Environmentalists have long argued the burning of fossil fuels in power stations and for other uses is […]


A must see chart

It is said that in the markets as in life, history provides great insight for the future. If so, the following charts offer a compelling argument that the S&P 500 will have a strong run into the first quarter of 2016. We compared these charts about 6 weeks ago, showing the uncanny similarity of the […]


Fed raises rates – what it means

For the first time in more than nine years, the Federal Reserve (Fed) voted unanimously to raise its benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 0.25% – 0.50%. “With the economy performing well and expected to continue to do so, the committee judges that a modest increase in the federal funds […]


Oil closes at $37.63, what next?

West Texas Crude Oil closed Monday at $37.63, breaking below $38.00 for the first time in six years. The price of oil has declined almost 65% from its peak in June’14. Prior to last week’s meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) oil cartel, there were strong rumors that OPEC would finally cut its […]


Feds collecting hoards of personal Internet data

From the Washington Examiner… The FBI has been collecting information about U.S. residents such as friends, political activities and online shopping for more than a decade, the former owner of an Internet company revealed. The agency has been collecting the personal Internet data through so-called “National Security Letters.” “For more than a decade, the FBI […]


Saving the Planet

Instead of sending thousands of politicians & bureaucrats to Paris in their private jets to get their picture taken with other politicians, maybe we need to step back & determine what our real role here is on this planet. This link was sent to us from a subscriber on the late George Carlin’s view on […]


It’s all connected

Everyone it appears is aware how central banks manipulate their currencies in order to try & stimulate their economies. While central banks can influence the currency markets, often more with talk than action, global currency markets are massive, & the market will always have the final say. According to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), […]

global debt

Our final warning on Corporate debt

It used to be that businesses borrowed money to fund plant expansion, research & development, or other long-term production improvement endeavors. These debts typically were self-supportive in that the increased production would generate increase revenues, which paid for the interest on the loan. Since 2008, thanks to the central banks keeping rates at near 0%, […]

love letter

9 year old writes a love letter & is now threatened with harassment charge

Do you think that maybe, just maybe, the degree of political correctness has now reached an absurd level? In Hillsborough County, a nine year old child has been threatened with sexual harassment charges for writing a love letter to his classmate. In the letter he described how his classmate’s eyes “sparkle like diamonds.” It also notes how the boy finds […]

Jihadi John

Headlines – Nov 13/15

Wall St opens lower on weak retail data; Cisco drag. Read story European stocks hammered after commodity rout.  Read story Euro area growth misses estimates as ECB ponders more stimulus. Read story Massive 3 billion barrel glut in Oil supplies to deepen price rout. Read story VW brand sales fall 5.3% in first full month […]


Is this the bottom for Oil?

In our December 17, 2014 issue of Market Musings we stated that fundamentally, we would not see a significant rise in oil prices until we got a correction in the supply/demand ratio. The latest data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that OPEC is now winning the market share war as US production is […]


The next shoe to drop

In 2014, when we forecast that the US dollar would appreciate to levels that the masses could not fathom, many thought we were nuts.  How could we make such a prediction when at the same time, we were highlighting the massive, unsustainable US debt situation? And it wasn’t just that the US was in a […]


Headlines – Nov 11/15

Global shares shrug off mixed China data, copper teeters near 6 year low. Read story AB InBev launches SAB bid, agrees to sell MillerCooors stake. Read story  Hayes to broker: UBS management ordered staff to lowball LIBOR. Read story ECB shortens transition time for bank capital exemptions. Read story Alibaba says ‘Singles’s Day’ sales surpass […]


Headlines – Nov 5/15

Carney signals BOE rate can stay low as China drags. Read story Fed jolts market to prime them for December lift off. Read story EU set for ‘modest’ recovery. Read story US jobless claims rise; 3rd Qtr productivity posts surprise gain. Read story China’s bull market. Read story Britain says Islamic State likely brought down […]


Musings: Euro, S&P 500 & Gold

Q. You have been very negative on the future of the Euro, yet I keep reading where Merkel and company will never let the Euro collapse. What makes you so sure of the Euro’s demise? A. The Euro is doomed for a number of reasons, all of which we have chronicled many times in issues […]


Headlines – Nov 3/15

• How Chinese send billions abroad to buy real estate. Read story • Weak bank results lead Euro stocks lower. Read story • Nikkei tumbles on fresh China worries. Read story • US auto industry headed for record sales in 2015: GM. Read story • Oil climbs to 2 week high, amid signs refinery demand […]

Apple cash

Headlines – Oct 28/15

Stocks rise as Riskbank, Apple help ease Fed wait  Read story Asian stocks retreat before Fed as material shares lead losses. Read story Fed rate puzzle looms. Read story IRS using cellphone surveillance gear to listen to people’s calls. Read story China Steel head says demand slumping at unprecedented rate. Read story US 3rd Qtr […]


IRS using Stingray cellphone surveillance gear to spy on people’s phone calls

We have been warning that governments desperate for money will resort to extreme measures to track down every dime they can & that freedoms & rights will  increasingly  be sacrificed. According to the Guardian, the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) is the latest in a growing list of US federal agencies known to have possessed the sophisticated […]

roy rogers & trigger 1940 - by roman freulich. Scanned by Frederic. Reworked by Nick & jane for Dr. Macro's High Quality Movie Scans website: Enjoy!

Dog named Trigger shoots owner in the foot

You just can’t make this stuff up. From Reuters… A dog named Trigger shot his 25-year-old owner in the foot in a bizarre accident that had Indiana officials on Monday reminding hunters to take safety lessons. Allie Carter of Avilla was wounded during a waterfowl hunt on Saturday morning at the Tri-County Fish and Wildlife […]


Headlines – Oct 27/15

·         Wall St opens lower on mixed results & weak data. Read story ·         Tentative budget deal reached. Read story ·         US plans to sell strategic oil reserves to raise cash. Read story ·         Weak business spending plans point to slower economic growth. Read story ·         UK economic growth slows to 0.5% in 3rd quarter. Read […]

epa04989908 Portuguese president Anibal Cavaco Silva addresses the nation, when he is expected to name caretaker prime minister Pedro Passos Coelho to form a new government, at Belem Palace, in Lisbon, Portugal, 22 October 2015. Passos Coelho's center-right coalition won the most votes in an Oct. 4 general election but fell short of a majority in parliament. The opposition Socialists have pushed for an alternative government together with two far left parties. But, the president is likely to follow Portuguese political tradition and name the candidate whose party won the most votes to form a government.  EPA/MANUEL DE ALMEIDA

Portugal’s President refuses to appoint elected anti – EU government

Constitutional crisis looms after anti-austerity Left is denied parliamentary prerogative to form a majority government By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Portugal has entered dangerous political waters. For the first time since the creation of Europe’s monetary union, a member state has taken the explicit step of forbidding eurosceptic parties from taking office on the grounds of national […]


Follow the Global Flow of Capital

For years now, we have been telling subscribers that the key to being a successful investor in today’s global economy is to follow the global flow of capital. Our subscribers have made terrific gains over the past couple of years by simply shorting the Euro & the Yen, & going long the US Dollar. We […]


Abe reaches engineering, economic agreements with Turkmenistan

From Japan Times… ASHGABAT – Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Turkmenistan President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov agreed Friday to cooperate on infrastructure development and natural gas plant projects totaling ¥2.2 trillion in the resource-rich Central Asian country. Abe and Berdimuhamedov also agreed to urge North Korea to follow United Nations Security Council resolutions banning the development of nuclear […]


The vice president of the Maldives allegedly tried to kill the president last month

From Quartz… Police in the Maldives have arrested Ahmed Adeeb, the country’s vice president, on charges of treason, alleging that he was involved in plotting an explosion that could have killed president Abdulla Yameen Abdul Gayoom in September. (The president is commonly known as “Abdulla Yameen.”) Though the president was not hurt in the blast, […]

Mexico quake

Mexico Quake Hits

From Quartz… The strongest hurricane ever seen in the western hemisphere hit Mexico last night (Oct. 23), with residents and aid groups bracing for massive destruction from high winds that are expected to cause flooding, landslides, and damage from flying debris. The eye of Hurricane Patricia made landfall 55 miles (85 kilometers) west-northwest of the […]


US oil settles down 2.4%; 3rd-straight daily loss

From Reuters… Oil prices slid for a third-straight session on Wednesday on worries over rising U.S. crude stockpiles, although a larger-than-expected drawdown in gasoline and distillates tempered the market’s bearish sentiment. U.S. crude oil inventories rose 8 million barrels last week, the government-run Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported. The build was more than double the […]

In this photo taken on Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015, Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, shakes hand with Syrian President Bashar Assad in the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia. President Bashar Assad was in Moscow, in his first known trip abroad since the war broke out in Syria in 2011, to meet his strongest ally Russian leader Putin. The two leaders stressed that the military operations in Syria - in which Moscow is the latest and most powerful addition - must lead to a political process. (Alexei Druzhinin, RIA-Novosti, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)


Global stocks slip as earnings, China weakness weigh. Read story Oil touches 3 week low, as over supply worries deepen. Read story China capital outflows top $500 billion. Read story US dollar gains versus emerging market currencies. Read story  US debt wrangling could cause ‘accident’: Treasury’s Lew. Read story Puerto Rico breaks off talks with […]


At least 30 involved in VW diesel cheat

According to  German news service Seigel, at least 30 managers were involved in Volkswagen’s  emissions test cheating, German magazine Spiegel reported on Wednesday, citing internal and external investigations. VW’s U.S. Chief Executive Michael Horn last week blamed “a couple of software engineers” for installing the software that defeated emissions tests and said it was not a […]


Putin says US & Allies have “oatmeal in their heads”

Some of Russia’s international partners have “oatmeal in their heads” because they don’t understand clearly that its military campaign in Syria seeks to help the fight against terrorism, President Vladimir Putin said. Russia notified the U.S. and the European Union in advance “out of respect” that it intended to begin airstrikes against Islamic State and […]

Headlines – Oct 12/15

Wall St flat as investors wait for bank earnings. Read story US dollar falls to three week low on rate-hike doubts. Read story China stocks, Yuan jump in heavy trade on stimulus hope. Read story Emerging markets urge Fed to raise rates & end uncertainty.  Read story Bond market casualties leading biggest S&P revival since […]

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