Trend Letter Blogs


Headlines – September 12/17

S&P opens at record high as Irma weakens; Apple in focus. Read story Irma’s death toll rises; residents start to return to Florida coast. Read story Oil trades near $48 as OPEC said to discuss extending cuts again. Read story Trump plans aggressive road show to promote tax relief. Read story Home Capital shareholders overwhelmingly […]


Is your car spying on you?

If you have bought a new car in the last couple of years, you may be shocked at how much data it is collecting about you. Of course it is not just cars that are collecting personal data, but any device that is connected to the internet has the potential to become a spy, even […]


Headlines – September 11/17

Wall St set for relief rally as Irma, North Korea fears ease. Read story Bye Bitcoin: China to ban commercial trading of virtual currencies. Read story Oil weakens on fears Irma could dent US demand. Read story North Korea warns US of ‘greatest pain’ if sanctions pass. Read story Trump calls for a tax reform […]


Headlines – September 7/17

US dollar tumbles as Yen, Euro rally on Irma, ECB. Read story Deadly Irma heads for Miami as Caribbean islands are wrecked. Read story Equifax executives sold stock after data breach, before informing public. Read story Trump urges Republicans to start tax reform immediately. Read story The cost of long-term care is going to bankrupt […]


Headlines – September 6/17

Wall St opens higher even as North Korea, Irma weigh. Read story Canadian dollar jumps as Bank of Canada raises benchmark rate to 1%. Read story US trade gap edges up; deficit with China at 11-month high. Read story Irma makes landfall in Caribbean, heads toward Puerto Rico. Read story How to track Hurricane Irma […]


Headlines – September 5/17

Stock market set for lower open as North Korea standoff intensifies. Read story North Korea threat prompts Japan evacuation preparations. Read story What heavier US military activity in the Pacific means for North Korea. Read story Putin warns of ‘planetary catastrophe’. Read story Euro area poised for fastest economic growth in a decade. Read story […]


Headlines – September 1/17

  US job growth slows in August; wage growth retreats. Read story Dollar falls as weak job number cuts Fed outlook. Read story Retail US gas prices surge as Harvey keeps refiners shut down. Read story Putin warns North Korea situation on verge of ‘large scale conflict’. Read story Canadian economy smashes expectations with 4.5% […]


Headlines – August 31/17

Stocks gain on growth, US dollar extends run. Read story Texas Chemical plant explodes after Hurricane Harvey flooding. Read story Harvey shuts key US fuel pipeline. Read story China says it will never allow war or chaos at its doorstep as tensions escalate on Korean peninsula. Read story US oil set for biggest monthly loss […]


U.S. stocks rose on Wednesday after stronger-than-expected U.S. economic growth outweighed concerns about escalating tensions between the United States and North Korea, and uncertainty in the aftermath of Hurricane Harvey. The S&P 500 closed the day up .46% moving out of its short-term downtrend channel. Technology stocks lead the way higher, with the NASDAQ closing […]


Headline – August 29/17

Gold climbs as N. Korea missile test sees price at 2017 high. Read story Trump vows “all options open” after N. Korea launch over Japan. Read story S. Korea drops eight heavy bombs near N. Korea to show ‘overwhelming force’. Read story Oil prices dip as market assesses hurricane damage. Read story US dollar dives […]


Headlines – August 25/17

Stocks heading for best weeks in six ahead of Draghi,Yellen speeches. Read story Samsung heir jailed 5-years for corruption and bribery. Read story Oil trims weekly drop as storm heads for Texas;gasoline surges. Read story Draghi has reason to tone down the drama at Jackson Hole. Read story Trump to start push for tax reform […]


Market Recap – August 23/17

After its strong rally Tuesday, the  S&P 500 pulled back slightly today, based on Trump’s comments about shutting government down and abandoning NAFTA. It remains in its near-term downtrend channel. Looking at what sectors have been the market leaders, we can see that while S&P 500 is up about 12% in the past year, it […]


Market Recap – August 21/17

It was a fairly quiet day in geopolitical terms, with no Trump or Kim Jong-un rhetoric. The S&P 500 managed to stop the slide from last week, closing up slightly. The weakest sector was once again the banks, with the SPDR S&P Bank ETF down 6.28% for the year. While the S&P 500 is up […]


Headlines – August 21/17

Wall St opens flat as North Korea, White House worries ebb. Read story N.Korea warns of ‘merciless strike’ ahead of US-S.Korea drills. Read story Moon warns North Korea against provocation during drills. Read story China’s Great Wall eyes Chrysler Fiat bid. Read story Speculators haven’t been this bullish on gold since October. Read story Eclipse […]


Headlines – August 18/17

Dow faces biggest 2-week drop in nearly a year. Read story Dozens mowed down, at least 13 killed, in Barcelona terrorist attack. Read story Russell 2000 small caps turn negative for 2017. Read story Trump scraps infrastructure council plan. Read story US-S.Korea war games start Monday as Pyongyang warns of ‘catastrophe’. Read story From junk […]


Headlines – August 17/17

Wall St lower on inflation, Trump policy worries. Read story Steve Bannon: ‘We’re at economic war with China’, there’s no North Korean solution. Read story North Korea propaganda posters show Korean missiles obliterating US capital buildings. Read story Trump did something good this week. Read story Growing list of money managers cutting their exposure to […]


Headlines – August 16/17

Wall St opens higher; investors eye Fed minutes. Read story What’s at stake as NAFTA talks begin? Read story The world’s best (and worst) cities to live in. Read story Amazon shares fall after Trump says it hurts retailers. Read story Oil rises on huge draw down in stocks. Read story Kim Jong-un executing record […]


Headlines – August 14/17

Stocks poised to move higher as geopolitical issues put on back burner. Read story Top US General readies military plan for N.Korea, but pushes for diplomacy. Read story Merk CEO Fraser steps down from Trump’s Manufacturing council after Charlottesville. Read story China bans key North Korea imports. Read story US ‘ally’ Ukraine is likely source […]


Headlines – August 11/17

Trump warns N.Korea that the US military is ‘locked and loaded’. Read story North Korea warns it could ‘reduce the US mainland to ashes at any moment’. Read story The time is running out to avoid war with North Korea. Read story China warns the US: “We will prevent a North Korea regime change”, Read […]


Trump & Kim Jong-un spook the markets

Over the past few weeks we have been highlighting a number of indicators suggesting that the stretched bull market in equities is due for a correction. We weren’t sure what might spook the market, but today’s geopolitical events certainly qualify. After weeks of increased rhetoric between North Korea and the US, the UN applied heavy […]


Headlines – August 9/17

US stocks retreat as N. Korea spurs geopolitical unease. Read story N. Korea threatens attack on Guam. Read story China urges calm over N. Korea. Read story N. Korea says it has released Canadian pastor. Read story The case for $5000 Bitcoin. Read story Can this US city go 72 hours without a murder? Read […]


Headlines – August 8/17

Wall St opens lower as investors pause after record rally. Read story Prosecutors seek 12-year sentence for Samsung boss. Read story Americans now have the highest credit card debt in US history. Read story Specter of coup, serge in violence haunt Venezuela. Read story The two industries that are getting the worst customer complaints. Read […]


Headlines – August 4/17

Dow opens at record after strong July jobs report. Read story The jobs numbers: Who’s hiring in America – and who’s not. Read story Former Facebook executive says society will collapse as robots will put half of humans out of work. Read story Gold falls, tracking weekly loss, as hiring strength in July boosts stocks […]


Headlines – August 3/17

Trump: US-Russia relations at ‘dangerous low’. Read story Trump’s heated conversations with Mexico, Australia’s leaders revealed in transcript. Read story Venezuela election results ‘manipulated’ by at least 1 million votes, polling company says. Read story Small business hiring rises in July. Read story WikiLeaks releases documents on ‘Dumbo’ CIA tool allowing control of webcams. Read […]


Total US debt: $1.05 million per taxpayer

If you are an American citizen who pays taxes, your liability of the total US debt now totals $1.05 million. When discussing the national debt, most people assume that the total national debt is the ‘official’ debt, which is sitting at $19.98 trillion, which in itself is an outrageous number. The current population in the […]


S&P 500 update: Watch for resistance at 2490-2515

Mariam Webster’s definition of Complacency:  marked by self-satisfaction especially when accompanied by unawareness of actual dangers or deficiencies :  marked by complacency :  self-satisfied a complacent smile The VIX volatility Index measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility. It is constructed using the implied volatilities of a wide range of S&P 500 index options. This […]


Oil update: Patience required

Oil rallied 3.3% today, marking the strongest single-day rally since late last year. Reasons given for the rally were that Saudi Arabia announced that they would cut August exports to 6.6 million barrels a day—a million barrels less than a year earlier. Also, Nigeria, which isn’t part of the production-cut agreement led by OPEC, promised […]


Headlines – June 21/17

China stocks win MSCI inclusion; initial market reaction muted. Read story Uber CEO Travis Kalanick resigns under investor pressure. Read story Oil headed for weakest first-half performance in two decades. Read story S. Korea says crashed N. Korea drone ‘grave provocation’. Read story Villian of the housing crash makes a comeback. Read story The dark […]


Was today the start of the Trump dump?

With this being such a critical time for the US and global economies, the US voted in Donald Trump, a candidate who was a non-politician, who represented change. Trump was elected with a platform of tax and regulatory cuts, and infrastructure spending. He also promised to “drain the swamp” and remove the corruption and lobbying […]


Subprime auto debt crisis coming?

In 2016 US auto makers sold more cars than ever before, with many of the mainstream media hailing this as clear evidence of rising consumer confidence. But it was not just auto sales that revved higher, so too did auto loans. US auto buyers racked up $1.2 trillion in auto loans last year, an increase […]



Wall St opens higher as government shutdown averted. Read story Oil falls as drillers boost rigs and Libya expands output. Read story Biggest gold ETF just saw largest outflows on record. Read story Fed’s cut in bond holdings may be messier than Yellen hopes. Read story French election: Macron says EU must reform or face […]



US first quarter growth at 0.7%, weakest in three years as consumer spending falters. Read story Canada’s economy stalls as factory decline offsets housing. Read story Eurozone inflation picks up to 1.9%. Read story Oil rebounds from one-month low on hopes for OPEC output cut extension. Read story Trump: ‘Major, major’ conflict with North Korea […]


Speculators are extremely bullish on silver, what does it mean?

There are many factors that affect the precious metal prices. There are basic supply and demand factors, such as demand for jewelry, electronic, and medical devices. Precious metals are also investments, often acting as a hedge against geopolitical events and a loss of confidence in government. Precious metal prices, like most commodities prices are also affected […]


Is a pro-EU vote a good thing?

France had the first round of its presidential election yesterday, and in order for a candidate to win, they would have had to receive over 50% of the votes.  If no candidates gets more than 50% of the votes, then the top two candidates move on to a run-off election on May 7th. No candidate […]


Headlines – March 31/17

Wall St slips as investors lock in gains of strong quarter. Read story Inflation hits Fed target for first time in nearly five years. Read story Euro-area inflation cools more than predicted on oil, food. Reads story Thanks to US Senate vote, your ISP can now sell your entire browsing history to literally anyone without […]

leaking balloon

Is air leaking out of the balloon?

In the November election, once the markets digested a Trump victory it liked what it was hearing, and from that election day till the end of February the S&P 500 has jumped almost 15%. A 15% rise in under four months is impressive. The market priced in a ‘deal maker’ president, and loved the idea […]


Market Musings – March 15/17

1. Inflation  The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped 0.1% in February. Even though this was the smallest month-over-month increase since the summer, prices are now rising at a 2.7% annualized rate. 2. Bonds With inflation rising at an annualized rate of 2.7%, the US Federal Reserve did the […]


Headlines – March 15/17

Fed expected to raise rates as US economy flexes muscle. Read story US stocks, oil rise as dollar slips before Fed. Read story Trump paid $38 million in taxes in 2005. Read story Dutch vote in test of anti-immigrant sentiment in Europe. Read story Early voter turnout high in Netherlands elections. Read story Does Saudi […]


Headlines – March 13/17

Wall St flat as investors prepare for potential rate hike. Read story Oil touches three-month lows, as US supply swells. Read story Intel makes $15 billion bet on driverless cars. Read story Wall St has found its next big short. Read story Central banks are taking off the market’s training wheels. Read story Brexit prompts […]


Headlines – March 9/17

Wall St opens flat with focus on jobs report, rate meeting. Read story US crude prices slump below 50.00 as inventories build. Read story Trump sends B-52 Nuclear bombers to S. Korea. Read story Dimon says Trump has reawakened ‘animal spirits’ in the US. Read story ECB’s Draghi ‘more optimistic’ on eurozone outlook. Read story […]


Headlines – March 6/17

Wall St opens lower on geopolitics, Trump’s comments. Read story Japan moves to highest alert level as N. Korea fire missiles. Read story JP Morgan: “In the near-term we see increasing  risk of a selloff.” Read story Bitcoin more valuable than gold. Read story PSA targets Opel turnaround as GM exits Europe. Read story Apple […]


Headlines – March 3/17

US service sector grows at fastest pace in a year and a half. Read story Fed and ECB go their separate ways. Read story Euro area economy expands most since 2011 as recovery broadens. Read story How wearable technology can transform healthcare. Read story Wendy’s responding to rising minimum wage by replacing humans with machines. […]


Pay attention to these charts

While we are long-term bullish on the equity markets, we are cautious here based on some technical indicators that we pay attention to.  As we can see on the following chart, the S&P 500 is overbought here based on the Bollinger  Bands and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicators. On the next chart of the […]


Headlines – Feb. 28/17

Wall St slips as financial, discretionary stocks drag. Read story Traders glued to these Trump stock trades ahead of address. Read story Consumer confidence hits 15-year high. Read story Mom and Pop investors are behind this historic market rally. Read story Greek private sector bank deposits drop in Jan. on review jitters. Read story French […]


Headlines – Feb. 27/17

Wall St slips as tech stocks weigh. Read story What exactly happened with the Best Picture  win at the Oscars? Read story Trillions of dollars are at stake when Trump speaks to Congress. Read story Stockman: “After March 15 everything will grind to a halt.” Read story Trump budget to seek $54 billion more in […]


Headlines – Feb. 24/17

Wall St opens lower as energy, finance stocks weigh. Read story Countries are using the EU’s biggest fear as their ultimate bargaining chip. Read story LePen surges in latest poll as voters serve a ‘slap in face’ to establishment. Read story China says no intention of using currency devaluation to its advantage. Read story Loeb […]


Headlines – Feb. 23/17

Fed may raise rates ‘fairly soon.’ Read story Tesla’s earning report raises new questions. Read story Trump to seek job advice from firms that offshore US work. Read story German budget surplus highest since 1990. Read story Oil to $70, or down to $30? Read story The world’s freest economy is slashing its already low […]


Headlines – Feb. 22/17

Wall St slips on weak oil prices; Fed minutes in focus. Read story This bullish stock signal has never been wrong – and it’s about to flash for 2017. Read story Chinese president has vowed to lead the “new world order.” Read story Iran ready to give the US a ‘slap in the face’: Commander. […]


Headlines – Feb. 21/17

Wall St hits another record high on strong retail sales. Read story Crude oil could plunge to as low as $30. Read story Euro-area recovery broadens as France outpaces Germany. Read story China stocks rise as investors see a bull market on the horizon. Read story Burger King parent buys Popeyes for $1.8 billion. Read […]


Headlines – Feb. 16/17

World stocks rise to record high, dollar retreats. Read story At least 25 dead in suicide attack on Pakastani shrine. Read story Banks accused of fixing South African Rand. Read story Race to shore up Oroville Dam before series of storms hit. Read story Intelligence officials withhold information from Trump. Read story China’s holding of […]


Headlines – Feb. 15/17

S&P 500 sets sights on longest wining streak in 3.5 years, but futures waver. Read story. Ceta: EU parliament backs free trade deal with Canada. Read story Japan & China dumping US Treasuries. Read story Iceland’s GDP soars 10%, so residents are preparing for next crash. Read story A $30 million golden parachute deal courtesy […]


Headlines – Feb. 13/17

Wall St extends record run as ‘Trump trade’ reignites. Read story Swiss voters reject tax reform plan. Read story Trump – Trudeau meeting underlies delicate task of remaking NAFTA. Read story Dollar gains against rivals after Trump-Abe meeting goes smoothly. Read story Musk: Merge with machine or become irrelevant. Read story N. Korea’s game changing […]


Headlines – Feb. 9/17

Wall St opens higher as energy stocks gain. Read story Twitter tumbles as quarterly loss nearly doubles. Read story College professor accused of punching Republican student over politics. Read story 3,144 US flights cancelled as snowstorm Niko bears down on northeast. Read story Record number renounce US citizenship in 2016. Read story Jobless claims fall […]


Headlines – Feb. 8/16

Wall St slips as bank, health stocks drag. Read story OIl pares loss after data shows massive US supply gains. Read story EU faces crisis as IMF warns Greek debts are on ‘explosive’ path. Read story Russian troops were placed on ‘combat alert’ amid massive NATO exercise. Read story Why the US has such a […]


Headlines – Feb. 7/17

Dow and NADAQ hit record highs. Read story US dollar shoots higher as Fed’s Harker says March hike ‘is on the table.’ Read story BOE’s Forbes says UK economy may soon need a rate increase. Read story GM US workers to get $12,000 bonus. Read story US trade deficit falls as exports hit more than […]


Headlines – Feb. 6/17

Dow struggles to hold on to 20,000 level. Read story US tech firms file legal brief opposing Trump’s travel ban. Read story Frances Le Pen launches election bid to fight globalization. Read story Euro fades in face of French election risks. Read story Trump and trade: US deficits back in spotlight. Read story European bonds, […]


Headline – Feb. 2/17

Wall St lower as Fed uncertainty weighs on banks. Read story US jobless claims fall; productivity slows in 4th quarter. Read story Major upgrade for UK economy. Read story Why ‘Grexit’ worries are back on the market’s radar. Read story Trump calls US-Australia refugee agreement ‘dumb deal.’ Read story As Brazil’s unemployment rate hits record […]


Headlines – Feb. 1/17

Wall St rises as Apple fuels tech rally; Fed eyed. Read story Fed to hold interest rates as Congress debates stimulus. Read story US private sector adds 246,000 jobs in January, topping estimates:ADP. Read story Bill gates set to become first trillionaire. Read story One income for all: Far fetched or future fact? Read story […]


Headlines – Jan. 31/17

Wall St opens lower on weak earnings. Read story Student arrested in Quebec mosque shooting. Read story Euro jumps after Trump advisor says shared currency ‘grossly undervalued’. Read story Euro is G-10’s most undervalued currency by OECD measure. Read story Eurozone inflation jumps to 1.8% in January. Read story Buffet says he bought $12 billion […]


Headlines – Jan 30/17

Dow falls below 20,000 as Trump actions, earnings weighed. Read story Quebec City mosque shooting kills six people. Read story Trump signs executive order to slash regulations. Read story Trump’s first week: Well, that was intense. Read story Starbucks CEO plans to hire 10,000 refugees after Trump ban. Read story Poll: Le Pen to lead […]


Headlines – Jan. 27/17

Wall St slightly lower at open. Read story US GDP misses forecast with final quarter rise of 1.9%. Read story US trade deficit biggest since 2010. Read story Trump floats 20% border tax for wall as Mexico feud deepens. Read story Former Bush aid: There won’t be a ‘quick’ US-UK trade deal. Read story Gorbachev:”It […]


Headline – Jan.26/17

Beyond Dow 20,000 hype, these broad, less-famous stock gauges are also roaring. Read story Mexico: We will not pay for Trump wall. Read story Trump: Mexico should cancel meeting if it won’t pay for Wall. Read story Socialist utopia hard sell as France swings to the right. Read story Economist: Stock market has gained $2 […]


Headlines – Jan. 25/17

Dow surpasses 20,000 for first time ever. Read story As Trump stresses ‘America first’, China plays world leader. Read story ISIS unveils weaponized drone program in new video. Read story Trump has been great for cable news business. Read story Sales and profits slip at Boeing. Read story Watch for Trump vs Yellen ‘fireworks’ risk […]


Headlines – Jan. 24/17

Wall St opens higher as earnings come into focus. Read story Trump to sign orders to approve Keystone & Dakota pipelines. Read story Trump & the bulls look set to rip a hole in oil prices. Read story China orders US to ‘act with caution’ over China South Sea. Read story Why New York Times […]


Trump signs executive orders: Government hiring freeze & Pulls out of TPP

President Trump signed an executive order formally withdrawing the United States from the 12-nation Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal on Monday, following through on a promise from his campaign last year. Trump called the TPP order a “great thing for the American worker.” In an Oval Office ceremony, Trump also signed an order imposing a federal hiring […]


Headlines – Jan. 23/17

Wall St pares losses as Trump meets with company executives. Read story Trump to ‘massively’ cut taxes and red tape. Read story 15 companies that make the most money from the US government. Read story Trump promises business leaders a ‘very major’ border tax. Read story Putin awaits call to President Trump as Russia sees […]


Headlines – Jan.20/17

Wall St higher across all sectors ahead of Trump administration. Read story Gold slips, fights for slim weekly gain as dollar tips higher. Read story Oil rises for second day on supply expectations, record China data. Read story Here’s why this bull market will keep going Trump angst or no. Read story Buffet: America ‘will […]


Headlines – Jan.18/17

Home-builders confidence retreats from highest level in 11 years. Read story Rising US shale output threatens OPEC’s production pact. Read story Davos thinks it runs the world, but populism begs to differ. Read story Russian opposition warning for Trump. Read story Obama frees Manning, but not Snowden. Read story Russia and Turkey ‘in first joint […]


Headlines – Jan.17/17

Wall St opens lower amid Trump, Brexit uncertainty. Read story Trump sends shiver through stock market on ‘too strong’ dollar comment. Read story Xi Jingping rebuked Donal Trump, positioning himself  as champion of globalization. Read story UK PM: We must leave European single market. Read story Former Klan Gran Dragon to Martin Luther King’s daughter: […]


Headlines – Jan.16/17

Saudis see no need to extend OPEC deal beyond six months. Read story As OPEC cuts, US producers increase their ‘short’ positions on oil. Read story Oil slips and dollar strengthens as investors await OPEC data. Read story Gold breaks 8-week high as traders focus on Trump & Brexit. Read story Beijing will ‘take off […]


Headlines – Jan.12/16

US stocks drop as bond rally sinks bank stocks. Read story Soros lost nearly $1 billion after Trump election. Read story Tillerson sets collision course with Beijing in South China Sea. Read story Six VW executives indicted in emissions-cheating scandal. Read story EPA to accuse Fiat Chrysler of excessive diesel emissions. Read story Four reasons […]


Headlines – Jan. 10/16

Nasdaq just had its best start to a year in a decade. Read story US small-business optimism index surges by most since 1980. Read story Ethics concerns swirl around Trump team. Read story Mexico again says there is ‘no way’ it will pay for Trump wall. Read story Pound’s decline deepens, reclaims ‘worst performing’ status. […]


Headlines – Jan. 9.16

Stocks retreat, treasuries advance with gold. Read story Russia ‘tired’ of US hacking ‘witch hunt’. Read story The US dollar is the strongest it’s been since 1986. Read story Pound falls on May’s Brexit comments. Read story Toyota to invest $10 billion in US over 5 years. Read story Offshore Yuan falls for second day […]


Gold question

Question: In mid December you highlighted that due to tax-loss selling there would be a “window of opportunity where investors could make double digit gains in a relatively short period of time.” My question is how high is gold likely to go on this rally, and how long is it likely to last? Answer: Looking […]


Headlines – Jan. 6/16

Wall St loses ground after mixed jobs data. Read story Chinese account for 98% of Bitcoin trading. Read story US wages rise at fastest pace in 7 years. Read story US trade deficit grows 6.8% in November. Read story Canadian job growth blows past forecasts as full-time hiring surges. Read story China ready to step […]


Headlines – Jan. 4/16

Wall St opens higher, Fed minutes awaited. Read story China studying options to back Yuan, curb outflows. Read story US dollar retreats from 14-year high ahead of Fed minutes. Read story House GOP reverses on ethic change after Trump criticism. Read story China goes on $26 trillion commodity binge as shortages seen. Read story Faraday […]


Warning signs for the S&P 500

When everyone else was calling for the sky to fall, our models forecast the S&P 500 to start 2016 year weak, then rally strong through to year-end. While we remain bullish on the equity markets in 2017, our Trend Model is warning of a top forming in the S&P 500. As we can see on […]


Headlines – Dec 30/16

European stocks edge higher as FTSE 100 closes year at all-time high. Read story Obama expels 35 Russian diplomats in retaliation for alleged hacking of Clinton’s embarrassing emails. Read story Putin refuses to retaliate to Obama’s “irresponsible diplomacy,” instead will work to restore ties with US under Trump. Read story ECB’s capital demand for Monte […]


Headlines – Dec. 29/16

Heisman Trophy winner Rashaan Salaam committed suicide. Read story  US dollar slips to two-week low vs Yen as Treasury Yields slip. Read story Oil steady as rise in US inventory slows upswing. Read story Jobless claims tumble 10,000 to 265, 000. Read story Trump’s budget chief Mulvaney liked gold, had dim view of dollar. Read […]


Headlines – Dec. 28/16

Dow turns negative as 20,000 hurdle proving elusive. Read story Toshiba shares fall 20% after it flags one-off loss. Read story Crude oil climbs for 4th day to fresh 2016 high. Read story Asia stocks end six-day loss as US shares, oil boost sentiment. Read story Israel cabinet minister calls Kerry speech ‘pathetic.’ Read story […]

Headlines – Dec. 22/16

US stocks edge lower on thin pre-holiday trading. Read story State rescue looms for Italian bank Monte dei Paschi. Read story US consumer spending growth slowed in November as wages fell. Read story Trump names billionaire investor Carl Ichan as special advisor to roll back regulations. Read story Canada’s inflation rates slows to 1.2%, helped  […]


Headline – Dec. 21/16

Wall St little changed; Dow still flirting with 20,000. Read story Manhunt across Europe for German truck attacker. Read story Explosion at Mexico City fireworks market kills 31, injures dozens. Read story Investors shun Italian bank Monte Paschi’s share offer. Read story US existing-home sales rise ahead of jump in borrowing costs. Read story European […]


Headlines – Dec. 20/16

Trump wins Electoral College vote; a few electors break ranks. Read story German Christmas market attack: Police have arrested wrong man. Read story Dollar hits 14-year high, Dow set sights on 20,000. Read story IMF chief Lagarde convicted, yet keeps job and escapes jail time. Read story Japan’s central bank keeps policy unchanged, upgrades economic […]


IMF head Lagarde found guilty

From the Telegraph… Christine Lagarde, the International Monetary Fund’s managing director, has been found guilty of “negligence” over a huge payout to a business tycoon while she served as France’s finance minister. However, in a boost to her hopes of keeping her post, the Court of Justice of the Republic – a special tribunal for ministers – chose not […]


Headlines – Dec.15/16

Wall St higher as banks rise on interest rate outlook. Read story US dollar climbs to strongest since 2003. Read story It happened again: Over 1 billion Yahoo accounts hacked. Read story Gold plummets below 1140 as US dollar soars. Read story Home builder sentiment soars to 11-year high as developers bank on a Trump […]


Headlines – Dec. 14/16

Wall St opens flat ahead of Fed decision. Read story Philippines’ president Duterte admits to personally killing suspects. Read story Watch Amazon’s first drone delivery. Read story US factory production drops for first time in three months. Read story S&P 500 companies would save $87.1 billion if Trump passes tax bill. Read story China warns […]

Headlines – Dec. 13/16

Stocks resume advance as Fed rate hike looms, oil extends gains. Read story Trump names Exxon’s Rex Tillerson as nominee for Secretary of State. Read story Trump’s tough trade talk makes US firms fear China retribution. Read story Italy’s UniCredit to raise billions and cut 14,000 jobs. Read story China’s richest man’s threat to Trump: […]


Headlines – Dec. 12/16

European stocks fall from 11-month high as focus turns to Federal Reserve. Read story Oil surges to one-and-a-half year high, Fed rate increase looms. Read story US Treasury yield tops 2.5% amid global bond sell-off. Read story IMF Chief Christne Lagarde in negligence trial in France. Read story China ‘seriously concerned’ over Trump’s Taiwan policy. […]


Headlines – Dec. 8/16

ECB expands stimulus to $2.4 trillion as monthly purchases slow. Read story Ultra-low rates to grip Europe for ‘a very long time,’ says Denmark. Read story Japan’s third quarter growth rate revised down sharply. Read story Mortgage rates soar to fresh high, Freddie Mac says. Read story Lululemon stock on track for biggest 1-day gain […]


Headline – Dec.7/16

Dow, S&P 500 set intraday records, but health-care slumps on Trump. Read story US mortgage rates rise to highest levels in two years. Read story Oil drops below $50 after huge inventory build at Cushing. Read story Strong US dollar has companies counting the costs – and opportunities. Read story Government spies can see everything […]


Headlines – Dec. 6/16

Oil dips as OPEC, Russia output at 30 year record high, ahead of proposed cut. Read story Why US shale oil producers are the biggest winners in OPEC deal. Read story Investors are pricing Junk-energy bonds like $80 oil is back. Read story Rescue deal ready for Italy’s Monte dei Paschi bank. Read story ‘Diplomatic […]


Headlines – Dec. 5/16

Dow opens at record high led by oil, bank stocks. Read story Euro gains with stocks as Italy NO vote absorbed in “three minutes”. Read story Austrian Freedom Party loses Presidential vote to Van der Bellen. Read story What next for Italy after Renzi’s resignation: Quick take Q&A. Read story EU cannot ask Italy for […]


Headlines – Dec. 2/16

Wall St opens flat after strong jobs report. Read story Payrolls rise in US; Jobless rate falls to 4.6%. Read story Ahead promised cut, Russia’s oil output hits record high. Read story What’s really at stake in Italy’s vote-of-confidence referendum? Read story French President Hollande will not seek re-election. Read story Trump vows ‘consequences’ for […]


Europe on a precipice: Austrian & Italian vote results could be the end of the EU & the Euro

This Sunday, December 4th, Italy votes on a referendum for constitutional reform. While this may sound like a boring non story, it is in fact quite the opposite, as the result has the potential to send monumental shocks across Europe, reshaping most of the nations. What could cause such dramatic changes?  Current Italian PM Matteo […]


Headlines – Dec 1/16

Wall St opens higher as oil rallies. Read story Global bonds suffer worst monthly meltdown as $1.7 trillion lost. Read story Oil price rally likely short-lived as OPEC deal not enough to reduce glut. Read story Nikkei hits highest level in 2016 as OPEC deal lifts Asia markets. Read story Jobless claims in US increase […]


Headlines – Nov 29/16

Iran says it won’t cut oil production as talks remain deadlocked. Read story US GDP revised up to strongest expansion in two years. Read story US consumer confidence in November jumps to highest level since 2007. Read story Russian Ruble, stocks tank as oil slides. Read story Trump names Obomacare critic Price as new Health […]


Headlines – Nov 28/16

Wall St opens lower after record-setting week. Read story Italian bank shares dive on fears about potential referendum defeat. Read story OPEC makes last-ditch bid to save oil deal as tensions grow. Read story Treasury selloff losses steam as foreign buyers return. Read story Why the next bull market begins now. Read story Energy firms […]


The bubble community

Many Clinton supporters have stated that they would seriously consider moving to Canada now that Trump has won. But now, thanks to SNL there is a place for them in America: “a planned community for like-minded thinkers—and no one else.”


Headlines – Nov.25/16

S&P 500, Dow hit record highs on Black Friday. Read story Saudi said to pull out of Russia talks as OPEC deal no closer. Read story The top Black Friday strategies that will land you the best shopping deals. Read story US stores far from overwhelmed as Black Friday sales begin. Read story Treasury yields […]


Gold plummets below key support level

The price of gold plummeted today, down below its key Near-term Support at 1200  (black circle) for the first time since February.    Gold is getting hit by the strength of the $US, with the $US benefiting from expectations that Trump as President will booster the US economy, enabling the Fed to raise rates. Many […]


Black Friday Special

In the spirit of Black Friday, we are offering some terrific specials to allow more readers to understand and profit from our research. For those newer readers, we have two services: A. The Trend Letter (TL): Price $599.95 per year… Special 40% Off = $359.95 The Trend Letter has been publishing since 2002, and over […]


Headlines – Nov.23/16

Wall St opens lower as health stocks weigh. Read story US Dollar soars to 13-year high. Read story Gold drops below $1200, hitting 9-month low. Read story UK economy ‘resilient’ despite £122 billion hit to finances. Read story Iran, Iraq reluctance emerges as hurdle to OPEC output deal. Read story US durable goods orders boost […]


Headlines – Nov. 22/16

Wall St opens at record high; tech stocks gain. Read story Trump lays out day 1 agenda. Read story OPEC to debate output cuts next week, but Iran, Iraq hesitate. Read story Why it’s ‘now or never’ for Euro-Dollar parity. Read story Orders for Trump voodoo dolls surge. Read story UK borrowing fell after record […]

Trump updates first 100 day plans

President-elect Trump gave an update on plans for the first 100 days, once he takes office. Some of the ones that should help the US economy include: Withdraw from the Trans Pacific Partnership, and instead negotiate bilateral trade deals that favour the US. Cancel restrictions in the energy sector Regulations: for every new regulation, two […]


What is your share of government debt?

It’s that time of year where we review the impact of government debt on individual tax payers. It is important to remember who is on the hook for government’s reckless spending binges. Whenever we hear politicians make campaign promises, they sound like they are spending their money. But government doesn’t have any money, so the […]


Headlines – Nov.21/16

US stocks climb to record high as crude surges, dollar falls. Read story Dollar pulls back as longest win streak in 3 years pauses. Reads story Oil rallies on OPEC production cut hopes, Putin’s ‘freeze’ comments. Read story Pound jumps almost 1% in one minute of trading: chart. Read story Record 77% of Americans see […]


Headlines – Nov. 18/16

Wall St flat at the open; NASDAQ hits record high. Read story Here are Goldman’s 2017 forecasts for stocks, oil & more – in one chart. Read story Dollar charges to 14-year high, bond tantrum in full swing. Read story The Euro is on its longest losing streak ever. Read story Gold slides toward $1200 […]


Headlines – Nov.17/16

Bank of Japan unveils surprise bond-buying plan. Read story Yellen says Fed could raise rates ‘relatively soon.’ Read story Clinton: ‘All I wanted to do was curl up…never leave the house again.” Read story Carl Icahn says dial back on stocks, as Trump rally looks overdone. Read story ECB primed to boost stimulus if needed; […]


Headlines – Nov. 16/16

Dow on pace to cool after four record closing highs in a row. Read story Oil industry faces boom & bust, warns IEA energy group. Read story US dollar reaches 9-month high as December rate hike seen as a lock. Read story US government bonds stabilize. Read story How blockchain will radically transform the economy. […]


Headlines – Nov. 15/16

S&P, NASDAQ higher at the open. Dow lower. Read story Oil rebounds from 8-week low as OPEC said to work to secure deal. Read story Velocity of Trump-fueled Treasury sell-off has Wall St spooked. Read story Trump’s win a game changer for mortgage strategies in Canada. Read story Germany economy slows in third quarter. Read […]


Headlines – Nov.8/16

Wall St opens slightly lower on US election day. Read story OPEC boss warns of oil market instability if no deal on output. Read story What happens if the electoral college is tied? Read story How Trump and Clinton’s Twitter war changed the course of the election. Read story Europe hates Trump. Does it matter? […]


Headlines – Nov. 7/16

Wall St jumps at the open as FBI clears Clinton. Read story Oil rebounds before election as earthquake shakes Cushing. Read story Euro founding father Otmar Issing gives stark warning about project’s future. Read story China ousts Finance Minister as Xi Jinping turns to allies in surprise reshuffle. Read story EU puts UK-Nissan deal under […]


Headlines – Nov 4/16

Strong US job growth, rising wages boost December rate hike prospects. Read story  Saudis threaten to raise output again as sparring with Iran returns. Read story Oil heads for biggest weekly drop since January as gains eased. Read story Gold edges higher, headed for 4th weekly gain. Read story 10-year Treasury yield slips as election […]


Headlines – Nov. 2/16

Wall St opens lower on election uncertainty. Read story Here’s how traders rushed to price in a Trump presidency on Tuesday. Read story US dollar, Mexican Peso slide on US election uncertainty. Read story Gold bulls test $1300 as presidential race tightens. Read story Supply build pushing oil prices lower. Read story UK inflation “set […]


Venezuela women sell hair to buy food

Women in Venezuela are selling their hair in exchange for valuable Colombian pesos. Since the shared border was opened in August, thousands of people from Venezuela are crossing into Colombia every day, with most in desperate need of food and medical supplies, which are increasingly hard to find at home due to the economic crisis.


Headlines – Nov. 1/16

Wall St little changed; Fed in focus. Read story Fed expected to tee-up December rate hike. Read story Colonial pipeline fire jolts US gasoline prices. Read story Oil heading to $40 if OPEC fails, says Goldman. Read story Oil rises after one-month lows after OPEC approves strategy. Read story Oil giant BP sees profits nearly […]


Headlines – Oct. 31/16

Wall St opens higher as M&As lift sentiment. Read story Oil trades near one-month low as OPEC accord remains unresolved. Read story Hilary Clinton still says her plans won’t add a penny to the debt. Read story Clinton allies target Comey as probe scrambles campaign. Read story A history professor who has accurately predicted three […]


Filmmaker Michael Moore explains Trumps popularity

Filmmaker and Clinton supporter Michael Moore explains Trumps popularity, something that the mainstream media just doesn’t get. He passionately explains why Trump has had so much success in his run for the White House. “I know a lot of people in Michigan that are planning to vote for Trump,” begins Moore, a Detroit native. “They don’t necessarily […]


FBI re-opens investigation of Clinton emails

From NBC… The FBI will re-open its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s use of a private email server, bureau director James Comey said in a letter to the Senate Judiciary Committee on Friday. “In connection with an unrelated case, the FBI has learned of the existence of emails that appear to be pertinent to the investigation […]


Headlines – Oct. 28/16

US dollar near 7-month high as stocks, bonds fluctuate. Read story US economy roars back, grew 2.9% in third qtr. Read story Yen set for worst month since May as rate divergence view holds. Read story OPEC officials debate thorny issue of how to implement supply cut. Read story Nigeria to spend $10 billion to […]


Headlines – Oct 26/16

Wall St opens lower as Apple set for worst day in six months. Read story Dollar set for biggest monthly gain since May on Fed prospects. Read story McDonald’s turnaround fails to get more customers in the door. Read story Oil companies shift exploration tactics, curb spending. Read story Draghi defends ECB’s easy-money policies. Read […]


Headlines – Oct. 25/16

Wall St opens flat as investors assess earnings. Read story Oil retreats as dollar advances, US supply seen rising. Read story The Euro area markets are beating expectations. Read story EU-Canada trade deal not dead yet. Read story Credit card scammers flock to on-line shopping. Read Story Iceland’s Pirate Party looks likely to take country’s […]


Headlines – Oct 21/16

Wall St drops on bleak GE outlook; Microsoft blunts losses. Read story A massive attack took out a swath of internet, affecting Twitter, Spotify, Github, and more. Read story Euro falls to lowest since March as Draghi eases nerves on QE. Read story Shell to divest $1 billion of Canadian assets. Read story SpaceX explosion […]


Headlines – Oct 20/16

Draghi hints at extension of ECB bond purchases. Read story Where the next crisis will come from. Read story US jobless claims rise, but labor market still strong. Read story Oil falls as profit taken from strong gains. Read story Russia oil capable of significant output growth, Sechin says. Read story Russia taunts US with […]


Headlines – Oct 19/16

Wall St flat as oil gains offset Intel’s drag. Read story Dollar falls a third day as Fed seen taking gradual rate path. Read story General Cartwright is paying the price for Hilary Clinton sins. Read story China’s economy grows steadily at 6.7%. Read story EU believes trade deal with US won’t be completed this […]


Headlines – Oct. 18/16

Goldman Sach’s profit jumps 58% as trading revenue surges. Read story Rising gasoline, rents push US inflation higher in September. Read story Carney to ignore inflation jump as November rate cut seen. Read story Election expert: “We now have 4 million ineligible and dead voters on America’s voter rolls”. Read story Crown’s luck runs out […]


Headlines – Oct 14/16

Financial stocks lift Wall St after strong results. Read story The press buries Hilary Clinton sins. Read story More than one million in Obamacare to lose plans as insurers quit. Read story Samsung flags $5.3 billion hit from Note 7 failure. Read story US retail sales rose .6%, pointing to confident consumers. Read story Brazil […]


Headlines – Oct 13/16

US stocks at one-month lows as China data weighs. Read story Oil trades near $50 amid rising supplies as OPEC disputes emerge. Read story US jobless claims hold at four decade low. Read story Amazon adds 120,000 workers for holidays. Read story Unilever is treating the UK like a Latin American country with a dodgy […]


Keep a close eye on this chart!

S&P 500 update As we can see on the following chart, the S&P 500 traded below its wedge pattern yesterday (yellow shaded area), & is now flirting with its uptrend line that has been in place since the mid February low. The 2125 support level has held the last two times it was tested (green […]



OPEC points to larger 2017 oil surplus despite deal to cut. Read story Pound rallies as May agrees to let lawmakers debate Brexit plan. Read story Fed can be ‘gentle’ in raising rates, Dudley says. Read story Professor says college students have become ‘precious snowflakes’ living in a ‘fantasy world’. Read story Texas, once a […]


Germany to ban petrol fueled vehicles by 2030

Germany’s federal council, the Bundesrat, has passed a resolution calling for a ban on combustion engine cars by 2030. If the ban were to go through, German citizens would only be permitted to purchase electric or hydrogen-fuelled cars. The resolution, which has received cross-party support but has no legislative effect, calls on the European Commission […]


Is it time to buy gold?

When forecasting which direction gold is most likely to take, one of the key indicators we use is the Commitment of Trader (COT) data. This data is gives us a view of what type of investors are long, & which ones are short gold. There are two key groups that we watch closely: The Large […]


Headline – Oct 4/16

Tech stocks, Deutsche Bank lift Wall St. Read story Powerful hurricane slams into Haiti. Read story Gold tumbles below $1300 psychological mark. Read story OPEC crude output rises to record as Nigeria, Libya boost supply. Read story Pound tumbles to 31-year low. Read story Fed’s Lacker says he would have dissented at September meeting. Read […]


Headlines – Oct. 3/16

US stocks pull back after rally. Read story Deutsche Bank races against time to reach US settlement. Read story Deutsche Bank: What’s the risk? Read story Columbia Peso weakens with bonds on shock peace deal rejection. Read story Pound falls as PM May announces Brexit timeline. Read story Oil rises to 3-month high as investors […]


Headlines – Sept. 30/16

Wall St opens higher as financial stocks rise. Read story Deutsche CEO tries to reassure staff as shares plunge. Read story As Deutsche Bank struggles, European bank rally creates investor dilemma. Read story The biggest real estate bubble isn’t London, San Fransico, or NY; It’s Vancouver. Read story European banks are asking ECB for a […]


Why should we care about a German bank?

While tens of millions watched the US presidential debate on Monday, investors who understand the global economy were watching the shares of Germany’s Deutsche Bank (DB). Why should we care about a German bank? Deutsche Bank is the 4th largest bank in the world, with over $2 trillion in assets. It also has one of […]


Headline – Sept 28/16

Wall St rises as energy, financial stocks gain. Read story Deutsche Bank sells UK unit, rules out capital increase. Read story Germany denies preparing Deutsche Bank rescue plan. Read story Draghi goes head-to-head with German critics of ECB policy. Read story Instant coffee brand promises men instant erections. Read story China’s ambitious plan to make […]


Headlines – Sept 27/16

Saudi’s, Iran dash hopes for oil deal in Algeria. Read story Wall St propped up by tech stocks. Read story Trump, Clinton ratchet up attacks. Read story Deutsche Bank shares fall to fresh new lows. Read story WTO cuts world growth to slowest rate since global financial crisis.Read story BlackRock warns on Treasuries as Fed […]


Headlines – Sept 26/16

World stocks get twitchy ahead of Trump, Clinton showdown. Read story Stocks fall as Deutsche Bank leads rout in lenders; Bonds climb. Read story Oil rises as OPEC meets, volatility hits post-Doha high. Read story Former IMF Chief Rato on trial for Spain Bankia fraud. Read story  US bond market’s biggest buyers are selling like […]


Equity market update – September 15/16

For over a month now, we have been highlighting the potential correction scenarios for the S&P 500. Below is the chart we showed on August 28th. At that time we highlighted that the first two potential corrections (black & blue arrows) represented healthy pullbacks. We also noted that if the Key Support at 1978-1998 (green […]


Headlines – September 7/16

World stocks hit one-year highs as Fed hike prospects fade. Read story Fed’s Williams says US economy in good shape, wants rate hike. Read story Oil rises, but doubt over output deal tempers rally. Read story Bank of England’s Carney says he’s ‘serene’ about Brexit warnings. Read story How Snowden escaped Hong Kong. Read story […]


Headlines – September 2/16

Wall St rises as jobs report reins in rate bets. Read story Manufacturing jobs go unfilled due to skill gap. Read story Oil up, but heads for biggest weekly loss in 8 months. Read story Trudeau uses business speech in China to focus on human rights. Read story Putin pushes for oil freeze deal with […]


Headlines – September 1/16

Wall St opens flat as investors await jobs data. Read story Manufacturing in US contracts for first time in six months. Read story EU ruling on Apple’s Irish tax is ‘total political crap’: CEO. Read story Weak Pound drives UK factories back from Brexit shock. Read story US layoffs remain low; labor costs spike in second […]



Wall St rises as hawkish Fed boost financial stocks. Read story Central bankers spurn call for radical approach at Jackson Hole. Read story European stocks fall as Fed outlook lifts US dollar; oil declines. Read story Beneath Yuan quiet, China worries rise. Read story Massive BOJ stimulus shock looms, says $2 trillion UBS investor. Read […]


Headlines – August 26/16

Fed chair Yellen sees stronger case for rate hike. Read story World’s largest Pension Fund loses $52 billion in stock rout, Read story Puerto Rico Pensions: $2 billion in assets, $45 billion in liabilities. Read story US corporate profit climbs as GDP ticks down to 1.1%. Read story TD, CIBC results beat expectations with higher […]


Oil headed to $30?

Is it really possible that we could see oil drop back into the low $30 range? – absolutely! While the mainstream media is all abuzz about yet another potential OPEC production freeze, supply continues to outpace demand. Even if OPEC were to agree to a freeze, which is unlikely, they are talking about a freeze […]


Headlines – August 25/16

Stocks fluctuate with bonds as traders brace for Yellen’s speech. Read story Central bankers eye public spending to plug $1 trillion investment gap. Read story Baltimore police defend secret aerial surveillance program. Read story Chicago’s detective force dwindles as murder rates soars. Read story Italy death toll nears 250 as rescuers search demolished towns. Read […]


Headlines – August 24/16

Earthquake in central Italy leaves dozens dead. Read story Wall St opens lower as investors eye Fed. Read story Developing-nation assets drop on political risks as Oil declines. Read story Fine-print fortune: Two ex-Goldman traders look for bonanza in mortgage bonds. Read story Largest Oil companies’s debts hit record high. Read story Merkel tells Renzi […]


Headlines – August 23/16

Wall St opens higher for first time in three days. Read story Dollar dips on Fed rate hike doubts. Read story Bank of Japan’s rush into stocks raises fears of market distortions. Read story It’s getting scarily quiet in the stock market. Read story Ten reasons why BOA thinks US stocks have an ‘elevated risk […]


Market indicators at extreme levels

Long-term, we are very bullish on the equity markets, but in the short-term, our indicators are warning of a correction, & potentially, a blow-off correction. The S&P 500 is nearing an inflection point, indicating that we are about to see either a moon shot higher to challenge the next strong resistance level, or it corrects […]


Clinton Cash, the documentary

We have warned for over two years now that 2016 would be the start of a major Trend Change, where the masses finally figure out that those in power are only looking out for themselves. We have highlighted that as Western economies start to crash, the people will finally lose confidence in the governments, & realize […]


Oil drops below $40

Oil closed today below its Near-term Support level of 40-42. Back in early June, when oil was trying to push above 50.00, we noted that the bullish sentiment was too high, & warned that oil was likely to pull back & test the 41.00 level. As we can see on the following chart, oil has […]

Hilary and Lavrov

Oh oh….Hilary has a new problem: Skolkovo

Russia’s influence the  American political system has been in the news lately, especially as the mainstream media tries to link Donald Trump to Vladimir Putin and the DNC hack. What the mainstream media doesn’t tell us is how a  report published by the Government Accountability Institute presents a whole new twist in the Russia/US political ties. It all […]


Headlines – July 12/16

Global stocks, sterling rally on stimulus hopes. Read story Return of oil contango shows price recovery to be bumpy rise. Read story BOE’s Carney hints at more stimulus after Brexit. Read story Japan to craft stimulus by end-July, may issue construction bonds. Read story Oil bounces back from two-month lows on weaker US dollar. Read […]

Banca Monte dei Paschi Siena

Italian banks on the brink!

Over the past six months we have been warning that European banks were in big, big trouble. We have published charts such as the one below of Deutsche Bank, showing how beaten up these banks have become. Deutsche Bank’s stock is down 90% from its 2007 high, & is now at an all-time low. While […]


Post Brexit Market Update – Day 2

The global markets continued to get hit as investors struggle to grasp the potential impact of the UK leaving the European Union (EU). 1. After dropping 8.88% on Friday, the British Pound dropped another 3.37% today. That’s a drop of 12.25% in two days. 2. The Euro declined 2.87% on Friday, and lost another .70% today. […]


Brexit Wins, Cameron Resigns, Markets Panic

The U.K. voted to quit the European Union after more than four decades in a stunning rejection of the continent’s postwar political & economic order, prompting Prime Minister David Cameron to resign and sending shock waves around global markets. We have warned for over two years now that 2016 would be the start of a major […]



Brexit voters wade through torrential rain storm to cast ballots. Read story Stocks jump as havens slide after release of latest EU poll. Read story Plot to rig Brexit vote? Read story Tesla shares hit hard after offer to buy SolarCity. Read story If Briton elects Brexit, changes will come slowly. Read story  Brexit already […]

Market update

Market Update 06/14/16

We are receiving a lot of email from some very nervous investors. Many are confused with what is happening, & there is clearly fear ramping up. Below is a chart of the VIX Volatility Index. VIX values greater than 30 are generally associated with a large amount of volatility as a result of investor fear […]


Former US Attorney General says Edward Snowden did a ‘public service’

From the Independent… A former top government law official has said that NSA whistle blower Edward Snowden performed a “public service” by triggering a debate over surveillance techniques. Yet Eric Holder, a former US Attorney General said he believed Mr Snowden should still be punished for leaking classified intelligence information that he claimed threatened US […]


Brexit: The Movie

The fear-mongering and outright bs over what a UK exit from the EU would mean, has reached such a level that the pro-EU side is now claiming that if the British leave the EU, they would risk getting cancer. To counter all of the pro-EU propaganda, documentary maker Martin Durkin created Brexit: The Movie, which makes a total […]


Tide change, or a storm warning?

Investment trends are a lot like tides, generally quite predictable for those who know what to look for.  The average person may look out to the sea, and notice ripples and waves, but have no clear idea as to whether the tide is coming in or going out. Waves and tides are predictable when you […]

Negative rates

Negative rates, the dangerous experiment

For over two years now we have been warning that low interest rates were going to have a serious effect on savers. We have also highlighted many times how low interest rates would crush Pension Funds, as these funds need annual returns of 6%-8% to meet their future obligations. We recently published a blog on how […]


The $78 Trillion Problem

$78 trillion is a massive number, & according to Citigroup, that is the amount of unfunded pension liabilities incurred by the richest 20 countries of the Organization for Economic Cooperation & Development (OECD). These countries include the US, UK, Canada, Australia, France, Germany, Japan, & central Europe, among others. The report also noted that most […]


How to survive the coming crisis

We are getting many questions from readers on how do we as individuals survive this coming period of incredible change. It used to be that people would work hard, save their money, and then when they retire, they could live off their savings. Today, seniors can no longer simply live off their savings, with record […]


John Oliver explains why Apple needs to maintain its encryption—to stay “one step ahead” of hackers

As figures in technology and politics weigh in on the US Federal Bureau of Investigation’s iPhone encryption battle with Apple, the comedian John Oliver has now joined the fray. In his show on Sunday (Mar. 13), Oliver backs the tech company’s resistance to government efforts to compel it to unlock an encrypted iPhone belonging to a […]

Negative rates

What would negative rates mean for you?

It used to be that you worked hard, saved your money, and then when you retired, you lived off the interest of your savings. Today, global central bankers are changing the landscape, where already in 15 countries, the term negative interest rates is a reality. Japan is the latest country to do this, following Europe, […]


The real reason central banks want to eliminate cash

First we had ECB president Mario Draghi announce he is seriously considering eliminating the €500 note, & today we have former US treasury secretary Larry Summers lobbying to eliminate the $100. Both of them use the ‘terrorist’ angle as justification, saying that the only users of high denominated currency are terrorists, & criminals. But this move […]


A robot sinks a hole-in-one on the PGA Tour

From Quartz… About a week after beating a supposedly unbeatable board game, robots are now turning their attention to a game you’ve actually heard of: golf. LDRIC, a robot named after Tiger Woods’ birth name (“Eldrick,” phonetically), knocked in a hole-in-one on the 16th hole of the Waste Management Phoenix Open in Scottsdale, Arizona on […]


Question on Gold

Q. You have continually warned that gold will not truly move into the bull market that you have projected until we see a loss of confidence in government. Given Trump’s popularity, isn’t that an indication that we are indeed seeing that loss of confidence in government now, and that this is why gold is rising? […]



Global markets rise as weak dollar, US rate outlook keep oil strong. Read story Oil seen ‘lower for longer’ by Morgan Stanley as forecasts cut. Read story US jobs markets signals loss of momentum; productivity plunges. Read story Bank of England cuts growth estimate; call for rate hike dropped. Read story  America holds crisis meeting […]



Manufacturing in the US contracts for 4th consecutive month. Read story  Oil falls 4% on China data, fading prospect of OPEC action. Read story US consumer spending softens; savings hit three-year high. Read story Global yields hit 12-month low with Japan 2-year at minus 0.16%. Read story Euro-Area Factories Cut Prices as Deflation Risks Loom […]


The 100 largest US public sector pension plans have a $1.2 trillion funding gap

From The 100 largest public employee pension plans in the United States face an unfunded liability of more than $1 trillion. This figure, compiled by consulting firm Millman, likely under-reports the actual liability, because it is based on the plans’ own, rather rosy, assumptions of investment returns. The true gap between what politicians have promised state and […]


China spooking global markets

The Chinese government implemented a new ‘circuit-breaker’ system that was supposed to give investors a feeling of safety & security, knowing that the market couldn’t fall too much in a day. Unfortunately, it has had the opposite effect. The new ‘circuit-breaker’ system halts trading if the market declines 5%, & then halts again if it […]


Market Turmoil

Volatility has ramped up & the ‘risk-off’ sentiment has taken hold of the markets. The Nikkei market started the damage as concerns over North Korea’s claim it had successfully carried out a hydrogen bomb test frightened markets early in Asia, & lasted right through the close in North America. There were many questions as to […]


NASA: Burning fossil fuels ‘COOLS planet’

Major theories about what causes temperatures to rise have been thrown into doubt after NASA found the Earth has cooled in areas of heavy industrialization where more trees have been lost and more fossil fuel burning takes place. Environmentalists have long argued the burning of fossil fuels in power stations and for other uses is […]


A must see chart

It is said that in the markets as in life, history provides great insight for the future. If so, the following charts offer a compelling argument that the S&P 500 will have a strong run into the first quarter of 2016. We compared these charts about 6 weeks ago, showing the uncanny similarity of the […]


Fed raises rates – what it means

For the first time in more than nine years, the Federal Reserve (Fed) voted unanimously to raise its benchmark interest rates by 25 basis points to a range of 0.25% – 0.50%. “With the economy performing well and expected to continue to do so, the committee judges that a modest increase in the federal funds […]


Oil closes at $37.63, what next?

West Texas Crude Oil closed Monday at $37.63, breaking below $38.00 for the first time in six years. The price of oil has declined almost 65% from its peak in June’14. Prior to last week’s meeting of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) oil cartel, there were strong rumors that OPEC would finally cut its […]


Feds collecting hoards of personal Internet data

From the Washington Examiner… The FBI has been collecting information about U.S. residents such as friends, political activities and online shopping for more than a decade, the former owner of an Internet company revealed. The agency has been collecting the personal Internet data through so-called “National Security Letters.” “For more than a decade, the FBI […]


Saving the Planet

Instead of sending thousands of politicians & bureaucrats to Paris in their private jets to get their picture taken with other politicians, maybe we need to step back & determine what our real role here is on this planet. This link was sent to us from a subscriber on the late George Carlin’s view on […]


It’s all connected

Everyone it appears is aware how central banks manipulate their currencies in order to try & stimulate their economies. While central banks can influence the currency markets, often more with talk than action, global currency markets are massive, & the market will always have the final say. According to the Bank for International Settlements (BIS), […]

global debt

Our final warning on Corporate debt

It used to be that businesses borrowed money to fund plant expansion, research & development, or other long-term production improvement endeavors. These debts typically were self-supportive in that the increased production would generate increase revenues, which paid for the interest on the loan. Since 2008, thanks to the central banks keeping rates at near 0%, […]

love letter

9 year old writes a love letter & is now threatened with harassment charge

Do you think that maybe, just maybe, the degree of political correctness has now reached an absurd level? In Hillsborough County, a nine year old child has been threatened with sexual harassment charges for writing a love letter to his classmate. In the letter he described how his classmate’s eyes “sparkle like diamonds.” It also notes how the boy finds […]

Jihadi John

Headlines – Nov 13/15

Wall St opens lower on weak retail data; Cisco drag. Read story European stocks hammered after commodity rout.  Read story Euro area growth misses estimates as ECB ponders more stimulus. Read story Massive 3 billion barrel glut in Oil supplies to deepen price rout. Read story VW brand sales fall 5.3% in first full month […]


Is this the bottom for Oil?

In our December 17, 2014 issue of Market Musings we stated that fundamentally, we would not see a significant rise in oil prices until we got a correction in the supply/demand ratio. The latest data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) shows that OPEC is now winning the market share war as US production is […]


The next shoe to drop

In 2014, when we forecast that the US dollar would appreciate to levels that the masses could not fathom, many thought we were nuts.  How could we make such a prediction when at the same time, we were highlighting the massive, unsustainable US debt situation? And it wasn’t just that the US was in a […]


Headlines – Nov 11/15

Global shares shrug off mixed China data, copper teeters near 6 year low. Read story AB InBev launches SAB bid, agrees to sell MillerCooors stake. Read story  Hayes to broker: UBS management ordered staff to lowball LIBOR. Read story ECB shortens transition time for bank capital exemptions. Read story Alibaba says ‘Singles’s Day’ sales surpass […]


Headlines – Nov 5/15

Carney signals BOE rate can stay low as China drags. Read story Fed jolts market to prime them for December lift off. Read story EU set for ‘modest’ recovery. Read story US jobless claims rise; 3rd Qtr productivity posts surprise gain. Read story China’s bull market. Read story Britain says Islamic State likely brought down […]


Musings: Euro, S&P 500 & Gold

Q. You have been very negative on the future of the Euro, yet I keep reading where Merkel and company will never let the Euro collapse. What makes you so sure of the Euro’s demise? A. The Euro is doomed for a number of reasons, all of which we have chronicled many times in issues […]


Headlines – Nov 3/15

• How Chinese send billions abroad to buy real estate. Read story • Weak bank results lead Euro stocks lower. Read story • Nikkei tumbles on fresh China worries. Read story • US auto industry headed for record sales in 2015: GM. Read story • Oil climbs to 2 week high, amid signs refinery demand […]

Apple cash

Headlines – Oct 28/15

Stocks rise as Riskbank, Apple help ease Fed wait  Read story Asian stocks retreat before Fed as material shares lead losses. Read story Fed rate puzzle looms. Read story IRS using cellphone surveillance gear to listen to people’s calls. Read story China Steel head says demand slumping at unprecedented rate. Read story US 3rd Qtr […]


IRS using Stingray cellphone surveillance gear to spy on people’s phone calls

We have been warning that governments desperate for money will resort to extreme measures to track down every dime they can & that freedoms & rights will  increasingly  be sacrificed. According to the Guardian, the US Internal Revenue Service (IRS) is the latest in a growing list of US federal agencies known to have possessed the sophisticated […]

roy rogers & trigger 1940 - by roman freulich. Scanned by Frederic. Reworked by Nick & jane for Dr. Macro's High Quality Movie Scans website: Enjoy!

Dog named Trigger shoots owner in the foot

You just can’t make this stuff up. From Reuters… A dog named Trigger shot his 25-year-old owner in the foot in a bizarre accident that had Indiana officials on Monday reminding hunters to take safety lessons. Allie Carter of Avilla was wounded during a waterfowl hunt on Saturday morning at the Tri-County Fish and Wildlife […]


Headlines – Oct 27/15

·         Wall St opens lower on mixed results & weak data. Read story ·         Tentative budget deal reached. Read story ·         US plans to sell strategic oil reserves to raise cash. Read story ·         Weak business spending plans point to slower economic growth. Read story ·         UK economic growth slows to 0.5% in 3rd quarter. Read […]

epa04989908 Portuguese president Anibal Cavaco Silva addresses the nation, when he is expected to name caretaker prime minister Pedro Passos Coelho to form a new government, at Belem Palace, in Lisbon, Portugal, 22 October 2015. Passos Coelho's center-right coalition won the most votes in an Oct. 4 general election but fell short of a majority in parliament. The opposition Socialists have pushed for an alternative government together with two far left parties. But, the president is likely to follow Portuguese political tradition and name the candidate whose party won the most votes to form a government.  EPA/MANUEL DE ALMEIDA

Portugal’s President refuses to appoint elected anti – EU government

Constitutional crisis looms after anti-austerity Left is denied parliamentary prerogative to form a majority government By Ambrose Evans-Pritchard Portugal has entered dangerous political waters. For the first time since the creation of Europe’s monetary union, a member state has taken the explicit step of forbidding eurosceptic parties from taking office on the grounds of national […]


Follow the Global Flow of Capital

For years now, we have been telling subscribers that the key to being a successful investor in today’s global economy is to follow the global flow of capital. Our subscribers have made terrific gains over the past couple of years by simply shorting the Euro & the Yen, & going long the US Dollar. We […]


Abe reaches engineering, economic agreements with Turkmenistan

From Japan Times… ASHGABAT – Prime Minister Shinzo Abe and Turkmenistan President Gurbanguly Berdimuhamedov agreed Friday to cooperate on infrastructure development and natural gas plant projects totaling ¥2.2 trillion in the resource-rich Central Asian country. Abe and Berdimuhamedov also agreed to urge North Korea to follow United Nations Security Council resolutions banning the development of nuclear […]


The vice president of the Maldives allegedly tried to kill the president last month

From Quartz… Police in the Maldives have arrested Ahmed Adeeb, the country’s vice president, on charges of treason, alleging that he was involved in plotting an explosion that could have killed president Abdulla Yameen Abdul Gayoom in September. (The president is commonly known as “Abdulla Yameen.”) Though the president was not hurt in the blast, […]

Mexico quake

Mexico Quake Hits

From Quartz… The strongest hurricane ever seen in the western hemisphere hit Mexico last night (Oct. 23), with residents and aid groups bracing for massive destruction from high winds that are expected to cause flooding, landslides, and damage from flying debris. The eye of Hurricane Patricia made landfall 55 miles (85 kilometers) west-northwest of the […]


US oil settles down 2.4%; 3rd-straight daily loss

From Reuters… Oil prices slid for a third-straight session on Wednesday on worries over rising U.S. crude stockpiles, although a larger-than-expected drawdown in gasoline and distillates tempered the market’s bearish sentiment. U.S. crude oil inventories rose 8 million barrels last week, the government-run Energy Information Administration (EIA) reported. The build was more than double the […]

In this photo taken on Tuesday, Oct. 20, 2015, Russian President Vladimir Putin, right, shakes hand with Syrian President Bashar Assad in the Kremlin in Moscow, Russia. President Bashar Assad was in Moscow, in his first known trip abroad since the war broke out in Syria in 2011, to meet his strongest ally Russian leader Putin. The two leaders stressed that the military operations in Syria - in which Moscow is the latest and most powerful addition - must lead to a political process. (Alexei Druzhinin, RIA-Novosti, Kremlin Pool Photo via AP)


Global stocks slip as earnings, China weakness weigh. Read story Oil touches 3 week low, as over supply worries deepen. Read story China capital outflows top $500 billion. Read story US dollar gains versus emerging market currencies. Read story  US debt wrangling could cause ‘accident’: Treasury’s Lew. Read story Puerto Rico breaks off talks with […]


At least 30 involved in VW diesel cheat

According to  German news service Seigel, at least 30 managers were involved in Volkswagen’s  emissions test cheating, German magazine Spiegel reported on Wednesday, citing internal and external investigations. VW’s U.S. Chief Executive Michael Horn last week blamed “a couple of software engineers” for installing the software that defeated emissions tests and said it was not a […]


Putin says US & Allies have “oatmeal in their heads”

Some of Russia’s international partners have “oatmeal in their heads” because they don’t understand clearly that its military campaign in Syria seeks to help the fight against terrorism, President Vladimir Putin said. Russia notified the U.S. and the European Union in advance “out of respect” that it intended to begin airstrikes against Islamic State and […]

Headlines – Oct 12/15

Wall St flat as investors wait for bank earnings. Read story US dollar falls to three week low on rate-hike doubts. Read story China stocks, Yuan jump in heavy trade on stimulus hope. Read story Emerging markets urge Fed to raise rates & end uncertainty.  Read story Bond market casualties leading biggest S&P revival since […]

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