Crypto TREND – Second Edition

In the first edition of CRYPTO TREND we introduced Crypto Currency (CC) and answered several questions about this new market space.  There is a lot of NEWS in this market every day.  Here are some highlights that give us a glimpse of how dynamic and exciting this market space is:

World’s largest futures exchange to create a futures contract for Bitcoin

Terry Duffy, president of the Chicago Mercantile Exchange (CME) said “I think sometime in the second week in December you’ll see our [bitcoin futures] contract out for listing.  Today you cannot short bitcoin, so there’s only one way it can go. You either buy it or sell it to somebody else.  So you create a two-sided market, I think it’s always much more efficient.”

CME intends to launch Bitcoin futures starting on December 10, pending regulatory review. If successful, this will give investors a viable way to go “long” or “short” on Bitcoin.  Some sellers of Exchange-Traded Funds have also filed for bitcoin ETF’s that track bitcoin futures.

These developments have the potential to allow people to invest in the crypto currency space without owning CC’s outright, or using the services of a CC exchange. Bitcoin futures could make the digital asset more useful by allowing users and intermediaries to hedge their foreign-exchange risks. That could increase the cryptocurrency’s adoption by merchants who want to accept bitcoin payments but are wary of its volatile value. Institutional investors are also used to trading regulated futures, which aren’t plagued by money-laundering worries.

CME’s move also suggests that bitcoin has become too big to ignore, since the exchange seemed to rule out crypto futures in the recent past. Bitcoin is just about all anyone is talking about at brokerages and trading firms, which have suffered amid rising but unusually placid markets. If futures at an exchange took off, it would be nearly impossible for any other exchange, like CME, to catch up, since scale and liquidity is important in derivatives markets.

“You can’t ignore the fact that this is becoming more and more of a story that won’t go away,” said Duffy in an interview with CNBC. There are “mainstream companies” that want access to bitcoin and there’s “huge pent-up demand” from clients, he said. Duffy also thinks bringing institutional traders into the market could make bitcoin less volatile.

Japanese village to use crypto currency to raise capital for municipal revitalization

The Japanese village of Nishiawakura is researching the idea of holding an Initial Coin Offering (ICO) to raise capital for municipal revitalization.  This is a very novel approach, and they may ask for national government support or seek private investment.  Several ICO’s  have had serious problems, and many investors are sceptical that any new token will have value, especially if the ICO turns out to be a another joke or scam.  Bitcoin certainly was no joke, but it was the first, and now there are many imitators, some of which may overtake Bitcoin eventually.

INITIAL COIN OFFERING –  ( ICO )

We did not mention ICO in the first edition of Crypto Trend, so let’s mention it now.  Unlike an Initial Public Offering (IPO), where a company has an actual product or service for sale and wants you to buy shares in their company, an ICO can be held by anyone who wants to initiate a new Blockchain project with the intention of creating a new token on their chain.  ICO’s are unregulated and several have been total shams, whereas IPO’s are regulated to ensure that investors are provided the information needed for due diligence.  A legitimate ICO can however raise a lot of cash to fund a new Blockchain project and network.  It is typical for an ICO to generate a high token price near the start and sink back to reality soon after.  Because an ICO is relatively easy to hold if you know the technology and have a few bucks, there have been many, and today we have about 800 tokens in play.  All these tokens have a name, they are all crypto currency, and except for the very well known tokens, like Bitcoin, Ethereum, and Litecoin, they are dubbed alt-coins.  At this time Crypto Trend does not recommend participating in an ICO, as the risks are extremely high.

As we said in Issue 1, this market is the “wild west” right now, and we are recommending caution.  Some investors and early adopters have made large profits in this market space; however, there are many who have lost a lot, or all.  Governments are considering regulations, as they want to know about every financial transaction in order to tax them all.  They all have huge debt and are strapped for cash.

So far, the crypto currency market has avoided many government and conventional bank financial problems and pitfalls, and Blockchain technology has the potential to solve many more problems.

A great feature of Bitcoin is that the originators chose a finite number of coins that can ever be generated – 21 million – thus ensuring that this crypto coin can never be inflated.  Governments can print as much money (fiat currency) as they like and inflate their currency to death.

Future articles will delve into specific recommendations, however, make no mistake, investing in this sector will be only for your most speculative capital, money that you can afford to lose.

CRYPTO TREND will be your guide if and when you are ready to invest in this market space.

Stay Tuned!

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Headlines – November 20/17

  • Stocks rebound in short week for US stocks. Read story
  • European markets power on after early German wobble. Read story
  • China’s shadow bank clampdown hits stock market. Read story
  • Canadian dollar dips as oil falls, investors weigh NAFTA talks. Read story
  • A Chinese tech giant just joined Facebook and Amazon in the $500 billion valuation club. Read story
  • Got $1 million to retire? Here’s how long it will last, by state. Read story
  • The reasons Americans give for buying Bitcoin show they have no idea what they are doing. Read story
  • What do China’s police collect on citizens in order to predict crimes? Everything. Read story
  • Cities fight to win key EU agencies from London. Read story
  • Soros says Hungarian government lying in attacks against him. Read story
  • Crime wave engulfs Sweden as fraud, sexual offenses reach record. Read story
  • The worst time of day to make money decisions. Read story
  • Charles Manson dies at 83, after four decades in jail. Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out!

Stay tuned!

Crypto TREND 2017-01

Everyone has heard how Bitcoin and other crypto currencies have made millionaires of those who bought as recently as a year ago.  Gains of 1,000% or more are not just possible, they have been common place with many of these crypto currencies. Someone who bought Bitcoin in May 2016 at less than $500, would have had a gain of 1,400% in about 17 months. Then over the past few days, we saw Bitcoin lose almost $1,000, so to say these cryptocurrencies are volatile would be a massive understatement.

Since the inception of Bitcoin in 2008, we at Trend News have been skeptical of crypto currencies’ ability to survive, given that they present a very clear threat to governments who want to see and tax all transactions. But while we may still be cautious on the actual crypto currencies, we are very aware of the potential of the underlying technology that powers these electronic currencies. In fact, we believe that this technology will be a significant disruptor in how data is managed, and that it will impact every sector of the global economy, much like how the internet impacted media.

Here are some questions & answers to get started…

Q: What are Crypto Currencies ?

The most well known crypto currency (CC) is BITCOIN.  It was the first CC, started in 2008.  Today there are more than 800 CC’s, including Ethereum, Litecoin, Dash, Zcash, Ripple, Monero, and they are all “virtual”.  There are no “physical” coins or currency.

Q: How do CC’s work ?

CC’s are virtual currencies that exist in very large distributed databases.  These databases use BLOCKCHAIN technology.  Because each Blockchain database is widely distributed, it is thought to be immune to hacking, as there is no central point of attack and every transaction is visible to everyone on the network.  Each CC has a group of administrators, often called “miners”, who validate transactions.  One CC called Ethereum uses “smart contracts” to validate transactions.  Crypto TREND will provide more details in upcoming news publications.

Q: What is BLOCKCHAIN ?

Blockchain is the technology that underpins all CC’s.  Each transaction for the purchase, sale, or exchange of CC’s is entered into a BLOCK that is added to the chain. This technology is complex and will not be explained here, but it has the potential to revolutionize the financial services industry, as transactions can be executed quickly and easily, reducing or eliminating fees.  The technology is also being examined for applications in many other industries.

Q: Are CC Exchanges regulated by government ?

For the most part, the answer is NO, which, for some users, is a big attractions of this market.  It is the “wild west” right now, but governments in most developed countries are examining this market to decide what regulation may be needed.  A big decision is whether to treat CC’s as a currency or a commodity / security.  Canada and USA have so far declared that CC’s are legal, however the situation remains fluid as for reporting and tax implications.  Crypto TREND will be following and reporting on these developments.

Q: How do I invest in this market ?

You can buy, sell, and exchange CC’s using the services of specialized “Exchanges” that act as a brokerage.  You start by selecting an Exchange , setting up an account, and transferring fiat currency into your account.  You can then place your BUY and SELL CC orders.  There are many exchanges around the world.  Opening an account is fairly simple and these exchanges all have their own rules about initial funding and withdrawals.

Crypto TREND will be recommending CC Exchanges in future.

Q: Where do I keep my CC ?

To have the freedom to move your crypto currencies around, and to pay bills, you will need to have a digital wallet.  These wallets come in several formats, such as desktop, cloud based, hardware (USB), mobile phone, and paper. Many of them are FREE, however, security is a big factor as no one ever wants to lose their wallet or have it stolen.  Crypto TREND will be recommending digital wallets in future.

Q: What can I do with my CC ?

As well as investing in CC products, you can also use crypto currency for some financial transactions, such as money transfers and paying bills.  The list of companies accepting crypto currency is growing fast, and includes big hitters like Microsoft, GAP, JC Penny, Expedia, Shopify, Bloomberg.com, Dish Network, Zynga, Subway, and WordPress.

Q: What’s next ?

As we start off, we will keep each of the Crypto TREND articles short and keep the scope of each one as narrow as possible. As we noted earlier, we believe that the crypto currency technology will be a game changer and potential investment opportunities like this come by once or twice in a lifetime. Make no mistake, early investing in this sector will be only for your most speculative capital, money that you can afford to lose.

Even if you are not wanting to invest at this time, gaining an early understanding of this new disruptive technology will put you in an advantageous position to profit from our recommendations as we move forward.

Expect to see more news and specific recommendations from Crypto TREND as we start this journey into what may seem to be a foreign jungle at first.  This is a volatile market and may not appeal to all investors, however, Crypto TREND will be your guide if and when you are ready.

Stay Tuned!

Headlines – November 16/17

  • House GOP set for big tax win. Read story
  • Europe’s longest stock sell-off of the year abates. Read story
  • Russia and Venezuela agree to debt deal. Read story
  • Mortgage rates spike to four-month high as tax reform drives bond sell-off. Read story
  • The world’s biggest wealth funds wants out of oil and gas. Read story
  • US jobless claims jump to 6-week high. Read story
  • ECB warns banks against Brexit ’empty shells’. Read story
  • Fisker has filed patents for solid-state batteries. Read story
  • Dr AI: Stanford trained AI to diagnose pneumonia better than a radiologist in just 2-months. Read story
  • Leonard da Vinci’s “Salvador Mundi” sell for $450.3 million, shattering auction highs. Read story
  • China builds fastest wind tunnel to test weapons that could strike the US in 14 minutes. Read story
  • Will Virgin’s latest venture have the cruise industry seeing green.? Read story
  • The most important skill for 21st-century students is the discipline to say ‘no’. Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out!

Headlines – November 15/17

  • Dow sinks 150 points, threatens 3-week low as global markets slump. Read story
  • Airbus seals massive $49.5 bln order for 430 aircraft. Read story
  • NAFTA talks resume as US warns ‘short fuse’ risks burning down. Read story
  • Zimbabwe’s military seizes power, detains Mugabe. Read story
  • Japan’s economy posts the longest growth streak since 2001. Read story
  • Venezuela goes bust. Read story
  • October pick up in CPI gives green light for Fed rate hike. Read story
  • Another slump for European stocks. Read story
  • Cannabis grower Aurora proposes industry’s largest takeover. Read story
  • Household debt rises by $116 billion as credit card delinquencies pile up. Read story
  • Tesla says it will fight lawsuit claiming racial discrimination. Read story
  • Half of over 65s take at least five drugs a day. Read story
  • China urged to stop electroshock therapy to ‘convert’ gays. Read story
  • Doctors are attempting the first case of gene editing inside the body of a living human. Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out!

Stay tuned!

Headlines – November 13/17

  • Stock indexes on track to extend last week’s pullback. Read story
  • World’s top tech giant amass $1.7 trillion in monster year. Read story
  • GE cuts dividend by half, slashes profit goals. Read story
  • Oil trades near $57 as OPEC signals rebalancing could speed up. Read story
  • Pound slides as British government faces turmoil. Read story
  • Bitcoin jumps 10% to above $6400, recovering from weekend crash. Read story
  • Tesla’s junk bonds are trading under water and could spell trouble for Musk. Read story
  • Trump says he has ‘great relationships’ with Duterte. Read story
  • ‘Priced-to-perfection’ European stocks show signs of exhaustion. Read story
  • Is it time for investors to leave the party after the latest bond market wobbles? Read story
  • Qualcomm rejects Broadcom’s $103 billion takeover bid. Read story
  • While attendance continues to decline, NFL commissioner is asking for $49.5 million, plus lifetime use of private jet. Read story
  • Floating cities no longer science fiction, begin to take shape. Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out!

Stay tuned!

Headlines – November 10/17

  • Global stocks dip on US tax doubts. Read story
  • In landmark move, China opens up banks, finance sector to foreign control. Read story
  • Xi, Trump offer dueling visions of globalization at Asia Forum. Read story
  • Is the junk bond market getting scary? Read story
  • Saudi Arabia orders citizens out of Lebanon, raising fears of war. Read story
  • Default day looms for cash-strapped Venezuela. Read story
  • Bitcoin slides by $1000 in less than 48 hours. Read story
  • Tesla’s junk bonds are trading under water, and it could spell trouble for Elon Musk. Read story
  • Republican Senate candidate Judge Moore hit by sexual misconduct allegations. Read story
  • Uber loses UK appeal bid to overturn worker’s rights decision. Read story
  • The man who gave us DVR says Roku is the future of TV. Read story
  • The deadly smog over New Dehli is a perfect example of everything that’s wrong with India. Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out!

Headlines – November 9/17

  • Tech stock pull Wall St lower amid tax bill worries. Read story
  • Trump says trade deficit is not China’s fault. Read story
  • Dissecting the $250 billion China deals Trump got for US. Read story
  • ISIS issues threat before Paris anniversary, vows to kill kids. Read story
  • Saudi anti-corruption probe finds “$100 bln was embezzled”. Read story
  • Saudi Aramco signs $4.5 billion oil, gas deals. Read story
  • Catalan speaker appears before Spain’s supreme court. Read story
  • Michael Lewis reveals his new “Big Short”. Read story
  • These maps show how crazy fast the world is aging. Read story
  • One region is growing older a lot faster than anywhere else in the world. Read story
  • Iranian activist shot dead in Netherlands. Read story
  • Self-driving shuttle bus involved in crash on first day. Read story
  • Take that Miami: Pittsburgh now top retirement haven. Read story
  • Kevin Spacey scenes in completed movie to be cut and reshot with Christopher Plummer. Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out

Stay tuned!

Headlines – November 7/17

  • OPEC sees slower growth in demand for its oil as rivals pump more. Read story
  • European stocks wobble around 1-year high. Read story
  • Dollar strength in a ‘Turnaround Tuesday’ pulls Euro to nearly 4-month low. Read story
  • Trump: “It makes sense for North Korea to come to the table and make a deal that’s good for the people of North Korea.” Read story
  • Saudi Arabia calls missile launch ‘act of war’ by Iran, vows retaliation. Read story
  • Saudi crackdown widens as more bank accounts said frozen. Read story
  • Tax overhaul faces major hurdles. Read story
  • The EU monster is falling apart, and has never looked so grim. Read story
  • Many older Americans are living a desperate, nomadic life. Read story
  • India’s central bank is shutting the door on Bitcoin and other crypto-currencies. Read story
  • Toyota sees profits rise again. Read story
  • German military prepares for “break-up of European Union” or worse. Read story
  • Air travelers resisting the ‘incredible shrinking airline seat.’ Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out!

Headlines – November 3/17

  • Payrolls rebound as jobless rate fall to 17-year low. Read story
  • Trump nominates Powell as Fed chair. Read story
  • Apple CEO breathes new life into old iPhones. Read story
  • Republicans release tax plan. Read story
  • Cryptocurrencies’s market hits record $200 billion as Bitcoin soars. Read story
  • Bitcoin may be staging the biggest challenge yet to gold and silver. Read story
  • European stock rally is finding fresh fuel. Read story
  • Pound’s pain is stocks gain. Read story
  • North Korea top subject for Trump on Asia tour. Read story
  • Can Trump reverse the decline in the coal industry? Read story
  • Homeland Security wants facial recognition to identify people in moving cars. Read story
  • Millennials: Communism sounds pretty chill. Read story
  • Forget checked baggage, this airline is weighing passengers. Read story
  • On the lighter side. Check it out!