Trend Letter Blogs
Potential big gains in Chinese stocks
Even though there are many signs pointing to a continued global economic slowdown, the Chinese stock market could be ripe for a surprise spike higher. The Shanghai Stock Exchange started the year with a bang, rising over 28%. The SSEC is no stranger to volatility as we can see on the following chart. Back in […]
Students prefer socialism, but what if they were the ones who had to pay for it?
According to a recent Gallup poll, more young Americans would prefer living in a socialist country than a capitalist one.They like the idea of free education, free healthcare, and even free income. To receive these benefits students are increasingly supportive of higher taxes on the wealthy in order to pay for these progressive policies. But would […]
Why should I care if the yield curve inverts?
On Wednesday last week the US Federal Reserve announced the expected, saying they were not raising rates at this time. Voting members also changed their outlook for 2019 from the two increases predicted in December to no movement. At first the stock market loved the news, but as the day went on investors started to […]
Two indicators showing stock market is overbought
The S&P 500 is attempting to break through its key near-term resistance range but as of today it is also getting overbought. While we remain long-term bullish for the equity markets, we note that two key technical indicators are signaling that the stock market is getting overbought in the near-term. On the chart below we show […]
Time to address pervasive and unjust forfeiture systems that allows police to deprive even innocent people of their property.
Wikipedia defines Civil Asset Forfeiture “as a legal process in which law enforcement officers take assets from persons suspected of involvement with crime or illegal activity without necessarily charging the owners with any wrongdoing. While civil procedure, as opposed to criminal procedure, generally involves a dispute between two private citizens, civil forfeiture involves a dispute between law enforcement and property such as a pile of cash […]
MoneyTalks radio interview with Trend Letter’s Martin Straith
“The EU has now had a decade of economic crisis and is slowly moving from economic crisis towards a full-fledged social/political crisis which will be its ultimate undoing. Result: European capital will look for a safer place to park.” The Trend Letter founder and editor Martin Straith joins Michael to discuss how moving and diversifying […]
How to identify a stock market top months before it happens
Most investors understand that the stock market doesn’t follow the economy, it leads it. That means we cannot wait for a recession to get out of the markets because the markets generally start to fall months before a recession kicks in. If the stock market tops before the economy goes into a recession, how do […]
Do we see a top in the S&P 500 next week?
The S&P 500 closed Friday at 2670.71 up 2.87% for the week and up 13.58% from its December 24th low. While this rally has been very impressive, our timing models are showing that Tuesday will be a key date (US markets are closed Monday for MLK Day), and suggests we could see a top and directional change […]
Target levels for Year-end for the S&P 500
In Wednesday’s blog after the S&P 500 soared a record 116.60 points or 4.86%, we warned “be careful here, we are not out of the woods yet!” Monday is year-end and here are our key targets for a Monday close: Friday’s close was 2485.74 2575 – a Monday closing below this resistance level (top red […]
Stocks rally for single day record
After a being down almost 16% so far in December, the S&P 500 soared a record 116.60 points or 4.86% on Boxing Day. A recovery was certainly not unexpected to Trend Letter subscribers as we have been warning on how oversold the market was. But be careful here, we are not out of the woods […]
Don’t panic! Profit in a declining market
Below is today’s update from our hedging service Trend Technical Trader (TTT). Links to archives will not work as this is subscriber content only. But this should give you a good understanding of how a good hedging service can not just protect you in a declining market, but actually allow you to make significant gains […]
S&P hits our target today, but is this the bottom?
For months we have highlighted our model’s target of 2470 as a low for the S&P 500. In our November 11th post we showed our model’s bearish projection for the S&P 500 to have a cycle inversion targeting a drop to 2600 and even 2500 by year-end. In our November 20th post we showed the following chart of our models’ projected […]
Stocks tumble, Bonds rise, & Gold breaking out
Stocks: The S&P 500 was down 62.87 points or 2.33% today and was down 4.5% for the week, its worst week since March. As we can see on the following chart the S&P 500 has been trading in a range between 2600 and 2825 and is now testing the low end of that range. If […]
S&P 500 – November 20/18
In our November 11/18 issue of the Trend Letter we showed a chart with our model’s bearish projection for the S&P 500 to have a cycle inversion targeting a drop to 2600 and even 2500 by year-end. With last night’s close of 2690 being sub 2700, we now have the scenario where this 2600 target […]
S&P 500 and Gold
S&P 500: Another wild day in the equity markets with the S&P hitting a high of 2746.80, then hitting a low of 2685.75, before closing at 2701.58. As we warned in Sunday’s issue of the Trend Letter, instead of a year-end rally we could see a cycle inversion if the S&P cannot push through the […]
November 8/18
S&P 500: After a huge up day yesterday the S&P 500 consolidated today, closing down 7 points. The S&P is trading above its 200-day MA (pink line) and within its 2-year uptrend channel. The S&P needs to push above the 2830 level by Monday or it re-opens the door for a possible cycle inversion where instead […]
November 7/18
S&P 500: In Monday’s update we highlighted a potential scenario where depending on the election results we could see a quick drop to test the previous 2600 support level and if that level gave way, black box algorithmic SELL Stops would be triggered, causing a potential spike lower to 2500. We also noted that a […]
Really, the S&P 500 below 2500 this week?
Stocks: In our October 24th Market Update we stated: S&P has been trading above its 9+ year uptrend channel, although it has now fallen below the upper level of that channel. All this action is bearish, suggesting that the S&P will very possibility test the 2600 level. Given that markets decline much faster than they […]
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