Trend Letter Updates
What is China Plus One?
With the threat of trade war tariffs companies like consumer electronics giant Apple are gearing up to diversify some of their manufacturing out of China. This movement is so common now it has a name… China Plus One. Due to these tariffs, many American companies doing business in China have been forced to come up […]
Iran posts video ‘proof’ repudiating Trump claims US shot down Iranian drone
On Thursday, according to CNN, US President Donald Trump claimed that US Navy assault ship, the USS Boxer, shot down an Iranian drone that had come within about 1,000 yards of it in the Strait of Hormuz. “The Boxer took defensive action against an Iranian drone, which had closed into a near distance, approximately 1000 […]
Is gold ready for its next bull run?
It has been almost 8 years since gold peaked at $1930. On Friday gold closed above $1400 for the second week in a row for the first time in 7 years! Our Trend Technical Trader (TTT) service with its Gold Technical Indicator (GTI) has been bullish for gold since November. Here are the results of […]
Headlines – June 28/19
‘Don’t meddle in the election please’: Trump jokes with Putin at G20. Read story Xi fires shot at US before Trump meet, without mentioning him. Read story Iran warns Trump against ‘illusion of short war.’ Read story Rivals target Biden as Democrats’ rifts emerge on age, race. Read story India arrests after women’s heads shaved […]
Headlines – June 27/19
US economy grew a solid 3.1% rate in first quarter. Read story 2020 Democratic candidates’ divisions laid bare in feisty TV debate. Read story Tulsi Gabbard was a surprise breakout in first Democratic debate. Read story Trump says this is his ‘Plan B’ if trade talks with China collapse. Read story This pig-fattening drug triggered […]
What is this megaphone pattern telling us?
A megaphone pattern is a visual representation of a recurring price pattern commonly observed in the stock market. Similar to other chart patterns, the emergence of the megaphone pattern tends to coincide with specific market conditions. Megaphone patterns show the potential for both higher highs and lower lows. In the Trend Letter issued last Sunday […]
S&P 500 continues to track TL Forecaster
Below is the updated TL Forecaster Model for the S&P 500. As we highlighted, the S&P 500 has been tracking our TL Model Forecaster very closely and bottomed just 3 points off our 2725 target low. Just as our model forecast a bounced off that target low, the S&P has followed, having now gained over 190 points since […]
Headlines – June 18/19
Euro falls sharply as ECB’s Draghi clears path for more stimulus. Read story Investors haven’t been this bearish since 2008 Financial Crisis. Read story Pro-democracy Hong Kong lawmakers reject Lam’s apology. Read story Hong Kong’s protesters used low-tech street smarts to smash China’s powerful techno-authoritarianism. Read story Liberal government to announce decision on Trans Mountain […]
Headlines – June 12/19
Hong Kong police deploy rubber bullets and tear gas on protesters. Read story Stock rally stumbles as Treasuries rise and oil falls. Read story Expectations low for Trump-Xi talks, preparations limited. Read story No one on Wall St is saying to buy Beyond Meat. Read story Drug to replace chemotherapy may re-shape cancer care. Read […]
Headlines – June 11/19
Trump predicts tariffs will spur trade deal with China as he slams Fed. Read story Trade War: China says it will ‘fight to the end.’ Read story Hong Kong braces for new mass protests against planned extraditions to China. Read story Delinquency rates rise Canada as consumer pile on more debt. Read story Mexico denies […]
BUY Signal triggered!
Below is the updated TL Forecaster Model for the S&P 500. As we highlighted last week the S&P 500 has been tracking our TL Model Forecaster very closely and this week hit an intra-day low of 2728 on Monday, just 3 points off our 2725 target low. Just as our model forecast a bounced off […]
Headlines – June 5/19
Wall St opens higher for second day on rate cut hopes. Read story US private sector adds fewest jobs since May 2010: ADP. Read story First FedEx now Ford. China clamps down on US companies. Read story Job loss fears in India after Trump tariff shock. Read story China ambassador blasts US, urges ‘independent’ Canada […]
Headlines – June 3/19
Bonds climb, stocks slide on fresh trade-war angst. Read story Trump rocks the boat as he arrives for UK state visit. Read story Major Google outage meant Nest users couldn’t unlock doors or use AC. Read story Oil rebounds after trade war rout as Saudis try to calm market. Read story Tiananmen’s tank man: The […]
S&P 500 hits TL Model target, is it time to buy?
Here is the update of how the S&P 500 has performed compared to our Weekly TL Forecaster Model for the S&P 500 since April 26th. Note that our model (gold line) tends to lead the markets. It projected the current decline and forecast a bottom in late May at the low 2700 (2750-2725) range. Check […]
S&P 500 Projections
In our blog on April 22/18 we showed our TL_Forecaster Model’s projection for the S&P 500 ‘to a pullback to the mid 2700 range by mid/late May and if that level holds it could be a great buying opportunity.’ Since that forecast the market has moved moderately higher, peaking at 2955, just above our near-term target […]
The rising influence of Gen Z
Just when you thought you had just figured out millennials a new generation of influencers has come on the scene. They are Gen Z—loosely, people born from 1995 to 2010— and they are true digital natives. From their beginning they have been exposed to the internet, to social networks, and to mobile systems. Corporate America […]
S&P 500 hits new all-time high – but why?
The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high yesterday. While the mainstream media keeps pointing to Fed policy on interest rates and US-China trade optimism, the real driving force for the rise in the S&P 500 is much deeper and more powerful than the daily news. We have often stated that if you get the […]
Are you ready for a potential great buying opportunity?
In late 2017 we warned of much more volatile times ahead, from 2018 to 2020. Up until the start of 2018 the stock markets were in a solid 9+ year bull market. Investors were confident, to the point of being ‘complacent’ , with a ‘risk-on’ sentiment. But then things changed, inflation worries crept into the […]
Market Update – S&P 500
The stock market has had a great run to start the year, but this rally is starting to look a little tired now. As we have warned subscribers, we are heading into some very challenging times in many areas of the globe and volatility in the markets is going to rise. But right now investors […]
Potential big gains in Chinese stocks
Even though there are many signs pointing to a continued global economic slowdown, the Chinese stock market could be ripe for a surprise spike higher. The Shanghai Stock Exchange started the year with a bang, rising over 28%. The SSEC is no stranger to volatility as we can see on the following chart. Back in […]
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