Trend Letter Blogs

Headlines – June 5/19

Wall St opens higher for second day on rate cut hopes. Read story US private sector adds fewest jobs since May 2010: ADP. Read story First FedEx now Ford. China clamps down on US companies. Read story Job loss fears in India after Trump tariff shock. Read story China ambassador blasts US, urges ‘independent’ Canada […]

Headlines – June 3/19

Bonds climb, stocks slide on fresh trade-war angst. Read story Trump rocks the boat as he arrives for UK state visit. Read story Major Google outage meant Nest users couldn’t unlock doors or use AC. Read story Oil rebounds after trade war rout as Saudis try to calm market. Read story Tiananmen’s tank man: The […]

S&P 500 hits TL Model target, is it time to buy?

Here is the update of how the S&P 500 has  performed compared to our Weekly TL Forecaster Model for the S&P 500 since April 26th. Note that our model (gold line) tends to lead the markets. It projected the current decline and forecast a bottom in late May at the low 2700 (2750-2725) range. Check […]

Market Notes

S&P 500 Projections

In our blog on April 22/18 we showed our TL_Forecaster Model’s projection for the S&P 500 ‘to  a pullback to the mid 2700 range by mid/late May and if that level holds it could be a great buying opportunity.’ Since that forecast the market has moved moderately higher, peaking at 2955, just above our near-term target […]

The rising influence of Gen Z

Just when you thought you had just figured out millennials a new generation of influencers has come on the scene. They are Gen Z—loosely, people born from 1995 to 2010— and they are true digital natives.  From their beginning they have been exposed to the internet, to social networks, and to mobile systems. Corporate America […]

Market Notes

S&P 500 hits new all-time high – but why?

The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high yesterday. While the mainstream media keeps pointing to Fed policy on interest rates and US-China trade optimism, the real driving force for the rise in the S&P 500 is much deeper and more powerful than the daily news. We have often stated that if you get the […]

Market Notes

Are you ready for a potential great buying opportunity?

In late 2017 we warned of much more volatile times ahead, from 2018 to 2020. Up until the start of 2018 the stock markets were in a solid  9+ year bull market. Investors were confident, to the point of being ‘complacent’ , with a ‘risk-on’ sentiment. But then things changed, inflation worries crept into the […]

Market Notes

Market Update – S&P 500

The stock market has had a great run to start the year, but this rally is starting to look a little tired now. As we have warned subscribers, we are heading into some very challenging times in many areas of the globe and volatility in the markets is going to rise. But right now investors […]

Potential big gains in Chinese stocks

Even though there are many signs pointing to a continued global economic slowdown, the Chinese stock market could be ripe for a surprise spike higher. The Shanghai Stock Exchange started the year with a bang, rising over 28%. The SSEC is no stranger to volatility as we can see on the following chart. Back in […]

Students prefer socialism, but what if they were the ones who had to pay for it?

According to a recent Gallup poll, more young Americans would prefer living in a socialist country than a capitalist one.They like the idea of free education, free healthcare, and even free income. To receive these benefits students are increasingly supportive of higher taxes on the wealthy in order to pay for these progressive policies. But would […]

Why should I care if the yield curve inverts?

On Wednesday last week the US Federal Reserve announced the expected, saying they were not raising rates at this time. Voting members also changed their outlook for 2019 from the two increases predicted in December to no movement. At first the stock market loved the news, but as the day went on investors started to […]

Market Notes

Two indicators showing stock market is overbought

The S&P 500 is attempting to break through its key near-term resistance range but as of today it is also getting overbought. While we remain long-term bullish for the equity markets, we note that two key technical indicators are signaling that the stock market is getting overbought in the near-term.  On the chart below we show […]

Time to address pervasive and unjust forfeiture systems that allows police to deprive even innocent people of their property.

Wikipedia defines Civil Asset Forfeiture “as a legal process in which law enforcement officers take assets from persons suspected of involvement with crime or illegal activity without necessarily charging the owners with any wrongdoing. While civil procedure, as opposed to criminal procedure, generally involves a dispute between two private citizens, civil forfeiture involves a dispute between law enforcement and property such as a pile of cash […]

Flash Report – February 6/19

MoneyTalks radio interview with Trend Letter’s Martin Straith

“The EU has now had a decade of economic crisis and is slowly moving from economic crisis towards a full-fledged social/political crisis which will be its ultimate undoing. Result: European capital will look for a safer place to park.” The Trend Letter founder and editor Martin Straith joins Michael to discuss how moving and diversifying […]

How to identify a stock market top months before it happens

Most investors understand that the stock market doesn’t follow the economy, it leads it. That means we cannot wait for a recession to get out of the markets because the markets generally start to fall months before a recession kicks in. If the stock market tops before the economy goes into a recession, how do […]

Do we see a top in the S&P 500 next week?

The S&P 500 closed Friday at 2670.71 up 2.87% for the week and up 13.58% from its December 24th low. While this rally has been very impressive, our timing models are showing that Tuesday will be a key date (US markets are closed Monday for MLK Day), and suggests we could see a top and directional change […]

Target levels for Year-end for the S&P 500

In Wednesday’s blog after the S&P 500 soared a record 116.60 points or 4.86%, we warned “be careful here, we are not out of the woods yet!” Monday is year-end and here are our key targets for a Monday close: Friday’s close was 2485.74 2575 – a Monday closing below this resistance level (top red […]

Stocks rally for single day record

After a being down almost 16% so far in December, the S&P 500 soared a record 116.60 points or 4.86% on Boxing Day. A recovery was certainly not unexpected to Trend Letter subscribers as we have been warning on how oversold the market was. But be careful here, we are not out of the woods […]

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Trend Disruptors Blogs

Crypto TREND 2017-01

Everyone has heard how Bitcoin and other crypto currencies have made millionaires of those who bought as recently as a year ago.  Gains of 1,000% or more are not just possible, they have been common place with many of these crypto currencies. Someone who bought Bitcoin in May 2016 at less than $500, would have had a gain of 1,400% in about 17 months. Then over the past few days, we saw Bitcoin lose almost $1,000, so to say these cryptocurrencies are volatile would be a massive understatement.

Since the inception of Bitcoin in 2008, we at Trend News have been skeptical of crypto currencies’ ability to survive, given that they present a very clear threat to governments who want to see and tax all transactions. But while we may still be cautious on the actual crypto currencies, we are very aware of the potential of the underlying technology that powers these electronic currencies. In fact, we believe that this technology will be a significant disruptor in how data is managed, and that it will impact every sector of the global economy, much like how the internet impacted media.

Here are some questions & answers to get started…

Q: What are Crypto Currencies ?

The most well known crypto currency (CC) is BITCOIN.  It was the first CC, started in 2008.  Today there are more than 800 CC’s, including Ethereum, Litecoin, Dash, Zcash, Ripple, Monero, and they are all “virtual”.  There are no “physical” coins or currency.

Q: How do CC’s work ?

CC’s are virtual currencies that exist in very large distributed databases.  These databases use BLOCKCHAIN technology.  Because each Blockchain database is widely distributed, it is thought to be immune to hacking, as there is no central point of attack and every transaction is visible to everyone on the network.  Each CC has a group of administrators, often called “miners”, who validate transactions.  One CC called Ethereum uses “smart contracts” to validate transactions.  Crypto TREND will provide more details in upcoming news publications.

Q: What is BLOCKCHAIN ?

Blockchain is the technology that underpins all CC’s.  Each transaction for the purchase, sale, or exchange of CC’s is entered into a BLOCK that is added to the chain. This technology is complex and will not be explained here, but it has the potential to revolutionize the financial services industry, as transactions can be executed quickly and easily, reducing or eliminating fees.  The technology is also being examined for applications in many other industries.

Q: Are CC Exchanges regulated by government ?

For the most part, the answer is NO, which, for some users, is a big attractions of this market.  It is the “wild west” right now, but governments in most developed countries are examining this market to decide what regulation may be needed.  A big decision is whether to treat CC’s as a currency or a commodity / security.  Canada and USA have so far declared that CC’s are legal, however the situation remains fluid as for reporting and tax implications.  Crypto TREND will be following and reporting on these developments.

Q: How do I invest in this market ?

You can buy, sell, and exchange CC’s using the services of specialized “Exchanges” that act as a brokerage.  You start by selecting an Exchange , setting up an account, and transferring fiat currency into your account.  You can then place your BUY and SELL CC orders.  There are many exchanges around the world.  Opening an account is fairly simple and these exchanges all have their own rules about initial funding and withdrawals.

Crypto TREND will be recommending CC Exchanges in future.

Q: Where do I keep my CC ?

To have the freedom to move your crypto currencies around, and to pay bills, you will need to have a digital wallet.  These wallets come in several formats, such as desktop, cloud based, hardware (USB), mobile phone, and paper. Many of them are FREE, however, security is a big factor as no one ever wants to lose their wallet or have it stolen.  Crypto TREND will be recommending digital wallets in future.

Q: What can I do with my CC ?

As well as investing in CC products, you can also use crypto currency for some financial transactions, such as money transfers and paying bills.  The list of companies accepting crypto currency is growing fast, and includes big hitters like Microsoft, GAP, JC Penny, Expedia, Shopify, Bloomberg.com, Dish Network, Zynga, Subway, and WordPress.

Q: What’s next ?

As we start off, we will keep each of the Crypto TREND articles short and keep the scope of each one as narrow as possible. As we noted earlier, we believe that the crypto currency technology will be a game changer and potential investment opportunities like this come by once or twice in a lifetime. Make no mistake, early investing in this sector will be only for your most speculative capital, money that you can afford to lose.

Even if you are not wanting to invest at this time, gaining an early understanding of this new disruptive technology will put you in an advantageous position to profit from our recommendations as we move forward.

Expect to see more news and specific recommendations from Crypto TREND as we start this journey into what may seem to be a foreign jungle at first.  This is a volatile market and may not appeal to all investors, however, Crypto TREND will be your guide if and when you are ready.

Stay Tuned!