Trend Letter Blogs

China leading the charge for electric cars

Last year China sold over 28 million vehicles, more than any country in the world. China sold over 10 million more vehicles than the 17.6 million sold in the US. Of the 28 million vehicles sold in China in 2016, 507,000 were Zero Emission Vehicles (ZEV), which was a 53% increase from 2015. By contrast, […]

Headlines – August 8/17

Wall St opens lower as investors pause after record rally. Read story Prosecutors seek 12-year sentence for Samsung boss. Read story Americans now have the highest credit card debt in US history. Read story Specter of coup, serge in violence haunt Venezuela. Read story The two industries that are getting the worst customer complaints. Read […]

Is the stock market about to hit a seasonal decline?

Generally, the well-known trading adage “Sell in May and go away” works, as long as you re-enter the market at the right time. This year however, the markets have been strong and are higher today than they were in May, driven primarily by the strong rally in July. As we can see on the Seasonality […]

Headlines – August 4/17

Dow opens at record after strong July jobs report. Read story The jobs numbers: Who’s hiring in America – and who’s not. Read story Former Facebook executive says society will collapse as robots will put half of humans out of work. Read story Gold falls, tracking weekly loss, as hiring strength in July boosts stocks […]

Headlines – August 3/17

Trump: US-Russia relations at ‘dangerous low’. Read story Trump’s heated conversations with Mexico, Australia’s leaders revealed in transcript. Read story Venezuela election results ‘manipulated’ by at least 1 million votes, polling company says. Read story Small business hiring rises in July. Read story WikiLeaks releases documents on ‘Dumbo’ CIA tool allowing control of webcams. Read […]

Total US debt: $1.05 million per taxpayer

If you are an American citizen who pays taxes, your liability of the total US debt now totals $1.05 million. When discussing the national debt, most people assume that the total national debt is the ‘official’ debt, which is sitting at $19.98 trillion, which in itself is an outrageous number. The current population in the […]

S&P 500 update: Watch for resistance at 2490-2515

Mariam Webster’s definition of Complacency:  marked by self-satisfaction especially when accompanied by unawareness of actual dangers or deficiencies :  marked by complacency :  self-satisfied a complacent smile The VIX volatility Index measures the market’s expectation of 30-day volatility. It is constructed using the implied volatilities of a wide range of S&P 500 index options. This […]

Oil update: Patience required

Oil rallied 3.3% today, marking the strongest single-day rally since late last year. Reasons given for the rally were that Saudi Arabia announced that they would cut August exports to 6.6 million barrels a day—a million barrels less than a year earlier. Also, Nigeria, which isn’t part of the production-cut agreement led by OPEC, promised […]

Illinois – the canary in the coal mine

A few months ago, we highlighted how Illinois was broke and that it would soon be the first state to have a junk bond rating. After all, the state has gone over two years operating without a budget. The state is in shambles, running up $15 billion in unpaid bills, and according to CNN Money […]

Headlines – June 21/17

China stocks win MSCI inclusion; initial market reaction muted. Read story Uber CEO Travis Kalanick resigns under investor pressure. Read story Oil headed for weakest first-half performance in two decades. Read story S. Korea says crashed N. Korea drone ‘grave provocation’. Read story Villian of the housing crash makes a comeback. Read story The dark […]

Will we ever see $100 oil again?

Yes we will see oil at $100 again, and in fact, we will likely see oil at north of $200 in the next decade. But before we get there we are most likely to see oil in the $30 range. When the Fed started its Quantitative Easing (QE) program, they created an environment where oil […]

Shareholders wiped out after Spanish bank failure

For over a year now we have been warning that many large Euro banks are in serious financial trouble. This week, after burning €3.6 bln ($4 bln) of emergency central bank funding in the first two days of the week, Spain’s Banco Popular suffered the eurozone’s first large-scale bank run. A steady stream of deposit […]

Watch for the S&P 500 to reach 3000+ before bull market ends

Q: I am a new subscriber and see that you have projected the S&P 500 to hit 3000 in 2018, how do you justify such a projection? A. We are currently in the middle of one of the biggest bull markets in history. Historically, before the top blows off a bull market there is a […]

Was today the start of the Trump dump?

With this being such a critical time for the US and global economies, the US voted in Donald Trump, a candidate who was a non-politician, who represented change. Trump was elected with a platform of tax and regulatory cuts, and infrastructure spending. He also promised to “drain the swamp” and remove the corruption and lobbying […]

May 17 Update – TTT Subscriber Content

  A glorious day in stocks resulted in the worst tumble in over 8 months.  This was very long overdue and had nothing to do with U.S. politics.  Hopefully it’s the start of a lasting trend, however for now we’ll call it a good start. All our positions were up today with the exception of […]

Subprime auto debt crisis coming?

In 2016 US auto makers sold more cars than ever before, with many of the mainstream media hailing this as clear evidence of rising consumer confidence. But it was not just auto sales that revved higher, so too did auto loans. US auto buyers racked up $1.2 trillion in auto loans last year, an increase […]

Headlines

Wall St opens higher as government shutdown averted. Read story Oil falls as drillers boost rigs and Libya expands output. Read story Biggest gold ETF just saw largest outflows on record. Read story Fed’s cut in bond holdings may be messier than Yellen hopes. Read story French election: Macron says EU must reform or face […]

Headlines

US first quarter growth at 0.7%, weakest in three years as consumer spending falters. Read story Canada’s economy stalls as factory decline offsets housing. Read story Eurozone inflation picks up to 1.9%. Read story Oil rebounds from one-month low on hopes for OPEC output cut extension. Read story Trump: ‘Major, major’ conflict with North Korea […]

Speculators are extremely bullish on silver, what does it mean?

There are many factors that affect the precious metal prices. There are basic supply and demand factors, such as demand for jewelry, electronic, and medical devices. Precious metals are also investments, often acting as a hedge against geopolitical events and a loss of confidence in government. Precious metal prices, like most commodities prices are also affected […]

Is a pro-EU vote a good thing?

France had the first round of its presidential election yesterday, and in order for a candidate to win, they would have had to receive over 50% of the votes.  If no candidates gets more than 50% of the votes, then the top two candidates move on to a run-off election on May 7th. No candidate […]

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