Trend Letter Updates

Shareholders wiped out after Spanish bank failure

For over a year now we have been warning that many large Euro banks are in serious financial trouble. This week, after burning €3.6 bln ($4 bln) of emergency central bank funding in the first two days of the week, Spain’s Banco Popular suffered the eurozone’s first large-scale bank run. A steady stream of deposit […]

Watch for the S&P 500 to reach 3000+ before bull market ends

Q: I am a new subscriber and see that you have projected the S&P 500 to hit 3000 in 2018, how do you justify such a projection? A. We are currently in the middle of one of the biggest bull markets in history. Historically, before the top blows off a bull market there is a […]

Was today the start of the Trump dump?

With this being such a critical time for the US and global economies, the US voted in Donald Trump, a candidate who was a non-politician, who represented change. Trump was elected with a platform of tax and regulatory cuts, and infrastructure spending. He also promised to “drain the swamp” and remove the corruption and lobbying […]

May 17 Update – TTT Subscriber Content

  A glorious day in stocks resulted in the worst tumble in over 8 months.  This was very long overdue and had nothing to do with U.S. politics.  Hopefully it’s the start of a lasting trend, however for now we’ll call it a good start. All our positions were up today with the exception of […]

Subprime auto debt crisis coming?

In 2016 US auto makers sold more cars than ever before, with many of the mainstream media hailing this as clear evidence of rising consumer confidence. But it was not just auto sales that revved higher, so too did auto loans. US auto buyers racked up $1.2 trillion in auto loans last year, an increase […]

Headlines

Wall St opens higher as government shutdown averted. Read story Oil falls as drillers boost rigs and Libya expands output. Read story Biggest gold ETF just saw largest outflows on record. Read story Fed’s cut in bond holdings may be messier than Yellen hopes. Read story French election: Macron says EU must reform or face […]

Headlines

US first quarter growth at 0.7%, weakest in three years as consumer spending falters. Read story Canada’s economy stalls as factory decline offsets housing. Read story Eurozone inflation picks up to 1.9%. Read story Oil rebounds from one-month low on hopes for OPEC output cut extension. Read story Trump: ‘Major, major’ conflict with North Korea […]

Speculators are extremely bullish on silver, what does it mean?

There are many factors that affect the precious metal prices. There are basic supply and demand factors, such as demand for jewelry, electronic, and medical devices. Precious metals are also investments, often acting as a hedge against geopolitical events and a loss of confidence in government. Precious metal prices, like most commodities prices are also affected […]

Is a pro-EU vote a good thing?

France had the first round of its presidential election yesterday, and in order for a candidate to win, they would have had to receive over 50% of the votes.  If no candidates gets more than 50% of the votes, then the top two candidates move on to a run-off election on May 7th. No candidate […]

Malls are dying at record pace as Amazon eats up retailers

According to Bloomberg  the demise of so many retailers has left shopping malls with hundreds of slots to fill, and the pain could be just beginning. More than 10% of US retail space may “need to be closed, converted to other uses or renegotiated for lower rent in coming years”, according to data provided to Bloomberg […]

What happens when the Fed unwinds its $4.5 trillion in assets?

As we highlighted in Wednesday’s Musings, the US Treasury Department issued copious amounts of debt in the form of US Treasury bonds to cover massive deficits, and to try stimulating the economy. We also showed how the Fed was a major purchaser of those bonds and accumulated a massive $4.5 trillion in assets on its […]

Headlines – March 31/17

Wall St slips as investors lock in gains of strong quarter. Read story Inflation hits Fed target for first time in nearly five years. Read story Euro-area inflation cools more than predicted on oil, food. Reads story Thanks to US Senate vote, your ISP can now sell your entire browsing history to literally anyone without […]

Foreign institutions are dumping US bonds

As the 2008 financial crisis hit, the US Treasury Department issued massive amounts of debt in the form of US Treasury bonds to cover massive deficits, and to try to stimulate the economy. As we can see on the following chart, on August 20/08 the US Federal Reserve (Fed) owned just under $900 billion in […]

Is air leaking out of the balloon?

In the November election, once the markets digested a Trump victory it liked what it was hearing, and from that election day till the end of February the S&P 500 has jumped almost 15%. A 15% rise in under four months is impressive. The market priced in a ‘deal maker’ president, and loved the idea […]

How high can US government allow interest rates to rise?

It doesn’t matter which party is in power in the US, as both Republicans and Democrats overspend their budgets. The pace of overspending has ramped up with Bush and Obama. In fact, Obama racked up more debt than all other presidents combined. With Trump’s promises of massive spending, this trend is not likely to end […]

Market Musings – March 15/17

1. Inflation  The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported that Consumer Price Index (CPI) jumped 0.1% in February. Even though this was the smallest month-over-month increase since the summer, prices are now rising at a 2.7% annualized rate. 2. Bonds With inflation rising at an annualized rate of 2.7%, the US Federal Reserve did the […]

More than 1 million borrowers defaulted on their student loans last year

From Market Watch…. Even as the economy continues to improve, student loan borrowers are still struggling to cope with their debts, a new analysis indicates. Roughly 1.1. million borrowers entered default on their Direct Loans, a type of federal student loan, last year, about the same as the previous year, according to an analysis of […]

Headlines – March 15/17

Fed expected to raise rates as US economy flexes muscle. Read story US stocks, oil rise as dollar slips before Fed. Read story Trump paid $38 million in taxes in 2005. Read story Dutch vote in test of anti-immigrant sentiment in Europe. Read story Early voter turnout high in Netherlands elections. Read story Does Saudi […]

Headlines – March 13/17

Wall St flat as investors prepare for potential rate hike. Read story Oil touches three-month lows, as US supply swells. Read story Intel makes $15 billion bet on driverless cars. Read story Wall St has found its next big short. Read story Central banks are taking off the market’s training wheels. Read story Brexit prompts […]

Headlines – March 9/17

Wall St opens flat with focus on jobs report, rate meeting. Read story US crude prices slump below 50.00 as inventories build. Read story Trump sends B-52 Nuclear bombers to S. Korea. Read story Dimon says Trump has reawakened ‘animal spirits’ in the US. Read story ECB’s Draghi ‘more optimistic’ on eurozone outlook. Read story […]

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