Trend Letter Blogs

Don’t panic! Profit in a declining market

Below is today’s update from our hedging service Trend Technical Trader (TTT). Links to archives will not work as this is subscriber content only.  But this should give you a good understanding of how a good hedging service can not just protect you in a declining market, but  actually allow you to make significant gains […]

S&P hits our target today, but is this the bottom?

For months we have highlighted our model’s target of 2470 as a low for the S&P 500. In our November 11th post we showed our model’s bearish projection for the S&P 500 to have a cycle inversion targeting a drop to 2600 and even 2500 by year-end.  In our November 20th post we showed the following chart of our models’ projected […]

Stocks tumble, Bonds rise, & Gold breaking out

Stocks: The S&P 500 was down 62.87 points or 2.33% today and was down 4.5% for the week, its worst week since March. As we can see on the following chart the S&P 500 has been trading in a range between 2600 and 2825 and is now testing the low end of that range.  If […]

S&P 500 – November 20/18

In our November 11/18 issue of the Trend Letter we showed a chart with our model’s bearish projection for the S&P 500 to have a cycle inversion targeting a drop to 2600 and even 2500 by year-end.  With last night’s close of 2690 being sub 2700, we now have the scenario where this 2600 target […]

S&P 500 and Gold

S&P 500: Another wild day in the equity markets with the S&P hitting a high of 2746.80, then hitting a low of 2685.75, before closing at 2701.58. As we warned in Sunday’s issue of the Trend Letter, instead of a year-end rally we could see a cycle inversion if the S&P cannot push through the […]

November 8/18

S&P 500: After a huge up day yesterday the S&P 500 consolidated today, closing down 7 points. The S&P is trading above its 200-day MA (pink line) and within its 2-year uptrend channel. The S&P needs to push above the 2830 level by Monday or it re-opens the door for a possible cycle inversion where instead […]

November 7/18

S&P 500: In Monday’s update we highlighted a potential scenario where depending on the election results we could see a quick drop to test the previous 2600 support level and if that level gave way, black box algorithmic SELL Stops would be triggered, causing a potential spike lower to 2500. We also noted that a […]

Really, the S&P 500 below 2500 this week?

Stocks: In our October 24th Market Update we stated: S&P has been trading above its 9+ year uptrend channel, although it has now fallen below the upper level of that channel.  All this action is bearish, suggesting that the S&P will very possibility test the 2600 level.  Given that markets decline much faster than they […]

November 1/18

Stocks: The S&P 500 rallied over 1% for the 3rd straight day for the first time in six weeks after Trump tweeted that he and Xi of China had a good conversation on trade. However, in after market trading Apple shares were down up to 7% after it warned that it could miss its December revenue target […]

October 29/18

Stocks: Another wild day as the markets opened strong, dropped dramatically, recovered some of those losses, but finally closed lower. The Dow had a swing of over 900 points during the day with the S&P and Nasdaq also having tough days. At the end of the day the tech heavy Nasdaq was down 2.02%, the Dow down […]

October 24/18

Stocks: Today stocks fell sharply lower as losses accelerated into the close, which put both the Dow and the S&P 500 into the red for the year, and the Nasdaq into correction territory (10% decline). The S&P dropped whopping 84.59 points or 3.09%. There are lots of news items driving this decline, but we believe that politics […]

October 23/18

Stocks: Another wild day in the markets with the S&P 500 trading in a range between the high at 2753.59 to a low of 2691.43, before rallying back some to close at 2740.69, down 15.19 or .55% for the day. The latest news driving the market down was.. a Chinese official told a group of […]

October 19/18

We follow the trends and capital flows. Remember, this is a global market, it is all connected. Stocks Today was the 31st anniversary of ‘Black Monday’, when in 1987 the Dow dropped a massive 23% in one day.  Today we saw nothing like 31 years ago, with the S&P 500 up almost 30 points, before […]

October 15/18

We follow the trends and capital flows. Remember, this is a global market, it is all connected. Stocks The S&P 500 had just surpassed Friday’s high with about an hour to go in today’s trading, then gave it all up and closed down 16.34 points or .59% on the day. Looking at the lower chart […]

October 12/18

We follow the trends and capital flows. Remember, this is a global market, it is all connected. Stocks A wild ride today for all core indices. The S&P 500 hit an early high at 2775.77, only to give it all up and drop to 2730.23 by noon, and then recover and close at 2767.13, ending […]

October 11/18

We follow the trends and capital flows. Remember, this is a global market, it is all connected. Stocks In yesterday’s update we showed how the S&P 500 dropped a whopping 94.66 points or 3.29% and in doing so blasted through its 2825 support level.  We also noted the NASDAQ fell a massive 4.1%, the largest decline of the year. We […]

October 10/18

We follow the trends and capital flows. Remember, this is a global market, it is all connected. In our Sunday issue of The Trend Letter we posted the following chart highlighting how the S&P 500 had broken below immediate support (yellow highlighted area) and warned that a break below 2825 (green line) would open the […]

MoneyTalks radio interview with Trend Letter founder Martin Straith

“No matter what your opinion of Donald Trump the person, that administration’s policy of reduced business taxes and regulations are very good for US businesses. Compare that to what we have in Canada and the EU.” The Trend Letter founder and editor Martin Straith joins Michael to discuss what this divergence in policy means for […]

Stock Market ‘Red Flag’ close to being triggered

This bull market in stocks is still very much alive, and we are even anticipating a powerful run or ‘melt-up’ before it is all over. But after this big ‘melt up’ we expect that we will have a ‘melt down’. Whether our prediction of a melt-up is true or not, the next question is when […]

Global Market Update – September 5/18

To be a successful investor today you must understand what is happening in the markets globally, one cannot simply look at what is happening domestically. Capital flows out of perceived risky areas, and into perceived safer areas.  The current perceived risky area is the emerging market debt, and in particular, emerging market debt denominated in […]

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